Software PE fund raise (FP, Hg) outlook in 2026?

Francisco partners (fund VII $13.5B in 2022) is raising $14B fund; Hg (Saturn III $11B in 2022) is raising $12B fund… how are LPs thinking about these pureplay software PE fundraises given the SaaSpocalypse? Will these firms have trouble meeting their target?

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I assumed software PE fundraising as a whole was going terribly as well, but took a closer look and not sure that's true. Hg is already at $30bn across three funds for their current raise as per PENews reporting. Funds with good returns, pedigree and a strong story are seemingly still doing well. Thoma raised a $24bn flagship (vs $20bn target) $8bn MM fund last year. Veritas announced a ~15bn fund raise in February this year, they aren't pure tech but do a lot of tech. On the MM side: Great Hill $7bn, PSG $6bn, Haveli $4.5bn, JMI $3bn all last year as well, as well a as a bunch of smaller $1-2bn funds like Siversmith and Recognize. In March this year, Bregal Sagemount and Lead Edge both announced raises of $3.5bn funds, both of which are larger funds than their last one.

The caveat is that fundraising is a backwards looking indicator, and the SaaSpocalypse will likely make the "strong returns" part harder to sustain over the medium to long term. That said, if you're an incoming associate at one of these shops these are still good spots to learn as they deploy this capital over the next 2-4 years. Would still probably rather be at a software fund that has capital to deploy vs. the plethora of UMM funds who haven't raised for 4-5 years+.

 

I don't think anyone is commiting their career to software joining as a PE associate. The goal is to get a lot of deal reps at that stage and learn about businesses. A lot of software funds who raised just last year will still be deploying capital in the upcoming years, so are still fine places to be associates. I agree that wouldn't want to hedge my careers to software, but that's much more relevant post-associate stint.

 
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