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Call me boring but I think both have very successful futures in terms of fundraising and returns.

On the corporate side, hurdle IRRs may fall (as they have over the last decade) simply due to sponsors overpaying in a competitive process (as a result of the exorbitant amount of dry capital out there). I can't envision a slowdown in fundraising - particularly as yield looks to be low for the foreseeable future and pensions only get bigger.

With respect to RE, I'm fascinated to see what buying action there will be coming out of this crisis as occupancy on commercial assets fall. Similarly interested in seeing if there is a turnaround story on distressed retail assets with everything moving online.

Interested to hear other's thoughts

 

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