NorCal CRE / Investment property market
Hello RE friends. Have a small nest egg and want to play in RE market. Thinking of deploying about 100-150k in my first property. Currently looking at NorCal because it's close to where I am based. Besides owning my house, and working on a couple of sell-side M&A with a lease-back component, I am complete newbie at the back of the napkin stage but I am extremely aggressive as an investor so would appreciate feedback. Please critique my plan.
1) Want to acquire a property for 500k-1MM.
2) Properties I am looking at are a CRE + multifamily mix (Think 3 story building with commercial (not precisely retail) space on the ground floor. All fully rented, ~6-7% capitalization rate.
3) Want to go 80% debt. (What can I expect for cost of debt?)
4) Anything I really need to know before I take the plunge?
Appreciate any insight and willing to trade advice for diligence on acquiring small operating business as a PIK.
Love the enthusiasm, but yes, there is a lot you need to know. I do development in the northeast and I know nothing about Northern CA except the standard: it's socialist, it's on fire, there's no water, etc. Also, RE is extremely pricey in the Bay Area. So the first thing is to figure out which geographic market makes sense for your price point and risk appetite. You are marrying a neighborhood, so make sure you have reasons for doing so. Start underwriting properties you see on the market. That's it. Practice over and over again until you can tell if a deal works in about five minutes. I can help you with a back of the napkin to make sure you're on the right track. Your rent/expense assumptions are important. Have a pro forma of what you think you can do and a pro forma using the bank's standard plugs for vacancy and escalations so you know what your DSCR and LTV are like as you modify your deal structure. Expenses I'd be worried about out there are RET (special assessments esp), Insurance (factually skyrocketing), Payroll, R&M (materials/supply), and just inflation in general. Find local BOVs and brokers for market sale and rent comps. How much can rents really grow? What's your hold period? What's your business plan to capitalize in the future? Look at your financing options. A deal as small as this probably makes sense to work with a local bank. I doubt they give you 80% but 70% is probably reasonable, which is $150K/$500K purchase price. The due diligence process is another grouping of hurdles we can go through when you get to that juncture, but the point I am trying to make right now is that you need to isolate particular submarkets that you want to be in. Basically, have a thesis. Then you'll find out what it means to be a small-time landlord. Which property management company is going to pick up such a small-scale deal? Will you self-manage? Do you have vendor/sub-contractor relationships and a handyman? You work in IB, you don't want to be running out to your little property in the middle of the night because the toiled on the third floor is overflowing and flooding the floors beneath it. Real estate is operationally intensive which is why third party managers are so crucial. Not trying to dissuade you at all, just playing the devil's advocate to get your wheels turning in the right direction. Feel free to DM me.
Great username reference, especially for this forum lol.
Are there any NorCal properties that are $500k-$1MM? I think that these are more realistic assumptions:
1) $2MM-$3MM purchase for a 6,000 square foot property (3 units above 3,000 sq. ft. commercial?)
2) 4%-5% cap rate
3) 60% LTV debt limited by DSCR at around a 3.5% rate
I think you are looking at $250-300k per door minimums for slum lord type 4 +plex type properties in Oakland/Richmond/Berkley. I have seen those kind of comps in those shitty rental areas.
Here is one for example:
https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2430-Fern-St-Oakland-CA-94601/247822…
Dignissimos cum non aliquid qui qui nostrum sit porro. Magni neque id sed eos dolorem ipsam earum quod. Cum sed amet quos soluta atque. Ea vel iure consequuntur rerum.
Repellat sit hic consequatur dicta cumque. Eius dolores mollitia aut. Vero modi sit quis ea qui tenetur quae. Aperiam modi deserunt odio corporis ut. Vel quo iste voluptatibus autem tempora dolorem. Cum ut nulla vitae eum fugit.
See All Comments - 100% Free
WSO depends on everyone being able to pitch in when they know something. Unlock with your email and get bonus: 6 financial modeling lessons free ($199 value)
or Unlock with your social account...