Underwriting development spread and IRR

I've got a couple general questions related to underwriting. I know any answer ultimately depends on the specifics of any deal so I may risk asking for overgeneralizations.

  1. I've heard that developers require a minimum of about 125-150 bps spread between stabilized YOC and market cap rates. How does this spread requirement compare to value-add and core-plus deals? Would it be fair to say value-add deals usually have a spread of 75+ bps, while core-plus is closer to 25-75 bps?
  2. Additionally, are there any rules of thumbs when solving for a purchase price?  I know it's nuanced and depends on the asset, market, etc., but I'm wondering if there's anything I could use if I'm asked to solve for a purchase price during a modeling test so that I don't completely miss the mark.
4 Comments
 

Based on the most helpful WSO content, here’s a breakdown of your questions:

  1. Development Spread Requirements:
    Developers typically aim for a spread of 125-150 bps between stabilized Yield-on-Cost (YOC) and market cap rates. This spread accounts for the additional risk and effort involved in development projects compared to stabilized assets.

  2. Spread Comparisons for Value-Add and Core-Plus Deals:

    • Value-Add Deals: These generally target a spread of 75+ bps. The higher spread reflects the operational and renovation risks associated with repositioning or improving the asset.
    • Core-Plus Deals: These are less risky than value-add and typically aim for a spread closer to 25-75 bps, as they involve stabilized assets with minor enhancements or operational improvements.
  3. Rules of Thumb for Solving Purchase Price:
    While underwriting is highly nuanced, a general approach during a modeling test could involve:

    • Backsolving from Target Returns: Use the required IRR or cash-on-cash return to determine the maximum purchase price.
    • Cap Rate Approach: Divide the projected stabilized Net Operating Income (NOI) by the market cap rate to estimate the purchase price. Adjust for any value-add or development costs if applicable.
    • Development Spread: For development deals, ensure the Yield-on-Cost exceeds the market cap rate by the required spread (e.g., 125-150 bps).

Remember, these are general guidelines, and the specifics of the asset, market, and deal structure will ultimately dictate the underwriting approach.

Sources: Is there an ideal spread between Unlevered and Levered IRRs?, REPE Interview Question: Evaluating whether to carry out CapEx?, https://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forum/real-estate/what-are-your-big-problems-right-now?customgpt=1, Alternative Lenders & the End of Risk Taking for Banks - Opportunity or Risk?, Spreads on New Multifamily Development

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