Headcount isn't going to change, just the job descriptions. Automation makes businesses more efficient thereby allowing them to hire people to perform tasks that still require input.
Companies already making the transition aren’t slashing workforces.
“This helps free up valuable subject experts to do more,” Moon said. “It will require people to use new skill sets, taking away manual work but allowing more around analytics, transformation and change.”
That echoes a view expressed last month by Jamie Dimon, the chairman and chief executive officer of the largest U.S. bank, JPMorganChase & Co. Technology creates opportunities while keeping costs at bay, he said, predicting headcount at his firm probably will rise over the next 20 years.
Right, I don't disagree with the premise, I just don't think it's going to lead banks to slash jobs... a large part of banking is and always will be a relationship business.
Is the machine going to take on a personality and go on road shows anytime soon? Sure, the repetitive tasks will get replaced (especially for tasks where it can analyze the feedback and improve), but I think it will have a less dramatic impact on hiring (especially front office) and will take more like ~5-10 years to get to a 30% of the work being replaced.
Good! if you're spending time doing repetitive tasks and shit that a robot can do, you prob hate those shitty parts of your job anyways. AI will facilitate bankers but not replace them. Also, the article is talking largely about the S&T business (less so IBD, ER, Merchant Banking, restructuring, structured finance etc.)
At some point, there won't be analysts, but there will still be associates and above. Ultimately automation tends to cull the headcount for "lower value" positions while opening up time/value for those above that level. Now automation will create some jobs (offsetting the jobs lost) but they won't be in areas that people qualified for Analyst positions will be able to fill. It'll create Automation Engineers, Data Analysts, Algorithmic Programmers, etc.
You'll probably see Associates and above become even more "sales" and "client facing" roles than before. That's the benefit of automation.
"It is better to have a friendship based on business, than a business based on friendship." - Rockefeller.
"Live fast, die hard. Leave a good looking body." - Navy SEAL
Remember kids, so much about any job is the processing of natural language. NLP has a long, long way of going. Even extremely simple NLP tasks have proven to be extraordinarily difficult for a computer to do.
"Hey Bob,
Hope you had a great weekend. Could you take a look at the slides in the deck from last week for XYZ client and tweak them so that they look like ____________________. I think we should also _________________.
Thanks,
DL"
Understanding such an email and actually doing the things asked correctly is super fucking hard for a computer to do. People aren't gunna want to give instructions specific enough for a computer because that would take so much time/effort.
Relax (at least about machines coming for you job). The article explicitly states: "The McKinsey report doesn’t focus too much on the so-called front office." I'd estimate that 99% of the people on WSO are (or aspire to) front office.
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Headcount isn't going to change, just the job descriptions. Automation makes businesses more efficient thereby allowing them to hire people to perform tasks that still require input.
Wrong. The jobs will be automated and headcount will go down.
Read WallStreetOasis.com quote from article.
you just ignored this part?
Thank you.
+1
I
Right, I don't disagree with the premise, I just don't think it's going to lead banks to slash jobs... a large part of banking is and always will be a relationship business.
Is the machine going to take on a personality and go on road shows anytime soon? Sure, the repetitive tasks will get replaced (especially for tasks where it can analyze the feedback and improve), but I think it will have a less dramatic impact on hiring (especially front office) and will take more like ~5-10 years to get to a 30% of the work being replaced.
That reminds me of the wonderful wonder that was LSO.
Outsource me?
Good! if you're spending time doing repetitive tasks and shit that a robot can do, you prob hate those shitty parts of your job anyways. AI will facilitate bankers but not replace them. Also, the article is talking largely about the S&T business (less so IBD, ER, Merchant Banking, restructuring, structured finance etc.)
Yeah, at some point. Right away, it won't.
At some point, there won't be analysts, but there will still be associates and above. Ultimately automation tends to cull the headcount for "lower value" positions while opening up time/value for those above that level. Now automation will create some jobs (offsetting the jobs lost) but they won't be in areas that people qualified for Analyst positions will be able to fill. It'll create Automation Engineers, Data Analysts, Algorithmic Programmers, etc.
You'll probably see Associates and above become even more "sales" and "client facing" roles than before. That's the benefit of automation.
Remember kids, so much about any job is the processing of natural language. NLP has a long, long way of going. Even extremely simple NLP tasks have proven to be extraordinarily difficult for a computer to do.
"Hey Bob,
Hope you had a great weekend. Could you take a look at the slides in the deck from last week for XYZ client and tweak them so that they look like ____________________. I think we should also _________________.
Thanks, DL"
Understanding such an email and actually doing the things asked correctly is super fucking hard for a computer to do. People aren't gunna want to give instructions specific enough for a computer because that would take so much time/effort.
Thank you. Honestly I appreciate your insight on WSO a lot because there aren't many people who understand how technology actual works.
Relax (at least about machines coming for you job). The article explicitly states: "The McKinsey report doesn’t focus too much on the so-called front office." I'd estimate that 99% of the people on WSO are (or aspire to) front office.
Qui nihil ad dolore ad ea. Minima labore quos quas et saepe non quod. Quidem quia incidunt rerum autem sint consequatur et. Nostrum laboriosam praesentium nisi nulla aut et.
Corporis dolores sunt ipsum neque voluptas et eum. Est dolores ipsam vitae saepe deleniti.
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