An economic theory that states people view their wealth in nominal rather than absolute terms
Also known as price illusion, is an economic theory that states people view their wealth in nominal rather than absolute terms. It says that people look at the dollar today like they do in the future. Thus, they ignore what inflation does to their money.
Financially speaking, people neglect that with inflation, the future value of money becomes less. In other words, a dollar tomorrow is worth less than a dollar today. However, with time, money loses its value due to inflation.
When inflation occurs, the price of goods and services increases, decreasing the purchasing power of money.
Thus, inflation is the main reason people should estimate their wealth according to how much they can buy with their money rather than how much money they hold.
This concept is purely psychological because today's dollar looks the same as tomorrow's. However, the dollar's purchasing power is constantly changing because fiat currencies have no genuine value, and their actual value depends on the price level.
In other words, price illusion is individuals' inability to report inflation and deflation rates when making financial decisions correctly. These decisions can be completely wrong and could lead to financial struggles in the future when nothing goes to plan.
Price illusion is typically seen in households and individuals with a weak financial and economic background. That's why individuals with a solid financial foundation can have a long-term vision with suitable actions and plan to achieve their pursued dreams.
In this article, we look at this concept from the day it began until the day that individuals started taking action to protect themselves against such an illusion.
"The Money Illusion" was originally a book written by the economist Irving Fisher in 1928. Fisher wrote this book to spread knowledge about an illusion people seem to believe, proving that finance and psychology are two equally correlated terms.
Fisher believed that we should look at the dollar as a fixed term which means that we tend to see the dollar the way it is over time, ignoring its actual value.
Since most of our financial plans can be affected by how we view money, Fisher decided to write a book to enlighten people about this psychological trick.
The book is about a shopkeeper in Germany after the First World War when the German mark (Germany's currency at the time) lost its value significantly due to hyperinflation. Hyperinflation is an accelerated type of inflation.
He details a story about a shopkeeper who sold shirts above the price she acquired them for and thought she was making a profit. However, according to Fisher and his theory, she was not making a profit and losing money from the shirts she sold.
This loss is because she could buy fewer goods or services with the money she earned from selling shirts due to inflation.
Fisher supposed people view their wealth according to how much they have rather than how much they can buy with that money.
Money illusion explained
Monetary illusion is more apparent in people with no financial education. Even though the nominal value is inaccurate, most people view money in its nominal terms instead of its actual value.
An increase of 5% in wages with a steady inflation rate of 1% would be promising as it represents a 4% growth in earnings. However, if inflation is 8%, yields will decline by 3%. An average person may see the two scenarios of a 5% raise as equal.
Let's take another scenario where wage rates dropped by 1%, and inflation decreased by 2%.
A person with no financial background may think his earnings are declining, given that he is earning less money.
However, the truth is, his earnings increased by 1% since the wage he is now earning can buy more goods and services than before the wage cut because the inflation rate also dropped by 2%.
In these two scenarios, a person with no financial background would prefer a raise of 5% in wages since he would think he earns more money, even though the inflation rate is 8%, which means a decline of 3% in earnings.
However, despite the wage cut, a well-educated person will choose the wage cut of 1% since their earnings would be higher given that the inflation rate dropped by 2%.
Why does the money illusion happen?
It is purely psychological. People falsely believe that with the growth of the amount of money they have, they will become wealthy, ignoring inflation rates. Due to that false belief, people usually overestimate their wealth.
But why do people fall into the trap of this illusion?
Economists have come up with two reasons why individuals fall victim to price illusions:
1. Weak financial background
Economists believe that due to the lack of proper financial education, individuals ignore the effects of inflation on their purchasing power and, ultimately, on the concept of wealth.
Take action immediately with several finance courses that can help you avoid being a victim of price illusions and other financial traps.
2. Sticky prices
Some goods and services have sticky prices, meaning their prices remain the same even though their production cost has changed. This stickiness occurs in markets with low competition, imperfect information, or strict regulations.
Economists also believe that price illusion is one of the main reasons inflation benefits the economy since it helps increase wages.
- Inflation paves the way for wage increases: employers will offer minimal raises in nominal wages as long as inflation rates are low. But when inflation rates go up, consumers realize the rise in prices.
Then, they would ask for a wage increase to compensate for such increases.
The relation between money illusion and the Phillips curve
Money illusion is a critical concept in the Friedman version of the Phillips curve, an economic theory stating that inflation and unemployment have an inverse relationship.
The Phillips curve is a famous tool used to analyze macroeconomics. It declares that economic growth is followed by inflation, leading to more jobs and lower unemployment rates.
Price illusion supports this theory. It says that employees rarely ask for a wage increase even though inflation is eating into their wealth, making employers take advantage of lower labor costs.
Price illusion validates the Friedman Phillips curve theory because:
- Employees are satisfied with their wages: since individuals falsely view their wealth in nominal terms, they rarely ask for a wage increase. That's because they tend to think they are earning enough salaries even when inflation is rising.
Thus, when inflation increases and employees aren't asking for a wage increase, employers tend to hire more individuals, ultimately reducing unemployment.
- Different price responses to modified demand conditions: Friedman believes that an increase in the total demand affects market prices sooner than it affects labor market prices.
Thus, a decrease in unemployment is correlated with a reduction in actual wages. As soon as employees realize they are victims of price illusion and demand higher wages to meet the inflation rates, unemployment rates start returning to normal.
- Information asymmetry: employers tend to take capital advantage of whatever employees are unaware of, related to variations in wages and prices.
Money illusion's financial impact
It is a tricky intellectual bias that may dramatically impact an individual's long-term plans. When a person tries to estimate the amount of money they need to retire comfortably, they tend to fall into the trap of this illusion.
Suppose a person estimates they need 2 million dollars for a comfortable retirement, but what does this amount of money equate to in 10, 20, or 30 years when the person retires?
The answer is pretty obvious; this person will need more than 2 million dollars to achieve the plan they are pursuing.
There are a few ways to avoid this illusion:
- To start making intelligent financial plans, you first need to understand inflation. With the understanding of inflation, you can acknowledge the buying power of the amount of money you have.
That's why you must look at the inflation rates and compare them to the income growth rates when making long-term plans.
- Another thing you have to do is to understand the whole aspect of the market. As mentioned, price stickiness tricks people when they look at what they can afford.
Of course, you would still be able to afford the things you want at different prices than those advertised.
- Finally, you should seek financial experts' advice that helps you fight inflation. When making long-term goals, always ask for an expert's opinion about what investment to make and what strategies to follow to protect yourself from inflation and price illusion.
- Money illusion, also known as a price illusion, means that people view their wealth in nominal rather than absolute terms. Thus, ignoring inflation.
- Psychological in nature, it causes people to overestimate their wealth by ignoring the buying power of their money.
- "The Money Illusion" was originally a book authored by Irving Fisher in 1928.
- A weak financial background and sticky prices are two main reasons for price illusion.
- Employers tend to take advantage of what employees are unaware of, related to changes in wages and prices.
- Price illusion validates Friedman's version of the Phillips curve, which is an economic tool stating that unemployment and inflation have an inverse relationship.
- This illusion can directly impact financial planning, as people may neglect inflation rates when planning for the future.
- Understanding inflation and the whole aspect of the market with a few financial experts' advice can help prevent falling into the trap of price illusion.
The term was first used by the American economist Irving Fisher when he wrote a book titled "Money Illusion" in 1928.
Price illusion occurs when people ignore the effects and consequences of inflation on the value of the money they hold and the overall prices of goods and services in the market
Economists believe that price illusion only occurs in the short run during the period when consumers haven't realized that prices have increased.
People can avoid this illusion by building a solid financial background and understanding the world's economy. After that, you can start planning your long-term goals with complete accuracy.
Everything You Need To Master Valuation Modeling
To Help You Thrive in the Most Prestigious Jobs on Wall Street.
Researched and authored by Kassim Faour | Linkedin
To continue learning and advancing your career, check out these additional helpful WSO resources:
or Want to Sign up with your social account?