Equity Reports

Hey guys, i am wondering what kind of tests and double checking are you doing for Estimates in Forecasting.

i am quite afraid of being biased in my analysis and forecasting, and i am starting a career as buy side - research analyst. i appreciate all the help you could provide.

3 Comments
 

You're meant to be biased. That's part of having a view. Of course to find devils advocate points, you can consult the sell side, colleague, or external peers. 

But there is no "accurate" forecasting (as someone explained in your previous post). Just as you cannot tell exactly how much rain will fall tomorrow, you cannot tell exactly what a company will report. You can only use your own opinions, views, and access to information to determine what you believe is closest to the "truth".

As long as you express that in a way (on your model) that is in accordance with accounting standards and financial theory, then that's all you can do.

 

can you advice me on resources to enhance my analysis techniques and investing acumen? books, articles, anything will work .. Thank you tho

 

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