Mining NAV Model

Hi Guys, i'm building a NAV for a mine for equity research and it has a LOM of 95years

In this scenario, would i model the entire 95 years till depletion or do like 20 years and then for the remainder of LOM as a “steady-state annuity”?

Thanks!

4 Comments
 

As said above, you should model the LOM, if available.

For the corporate overhead (cost from the corporate, off-site), you should also model it on a yearly basis. If your model is in real terms (usually it is) you can take a flat value. 

Please be careful with consistency in the model: if its real (nominal) terms, use real (nominal) prices, opex, capex, discount rate etc. Also, be careful if you are using a FCFF discounted by WACC or an Adjusted Present Value (FCFF discounted at unlevered equity rate + tax shield discounted at cost of debt). APV is quite common considering that you usually value as a sum-of-the-parts and you could have different debt structures along assets and the HoldCo due to Project Finance or Bond issuances

 

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