Has anyone ever made money buying something at >35x P/S?

Other than MSFT where with the lost decade post-dot-com it took a decade to get back to par, are these ever good investments? I'm on the newer side and so don't have all the historical precedent. I can think of a lot that didn't work - if you bought SNOW at 125x you were crushed, if you bought GoodRx at ~50x you were crushed, but are there any examples where this isn't the case? 

14 Comments
 

Yeah dude, Tesla lol

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Pretty much never works long term. Even elite companies like Shopify or Nvidia only justified high multiples after massive revenue growth. Buying above 35x P/S usually means all future upside is already priced in.

 

Yikes, good catch. I thought it was P/E. 

I was in VC so we did plenty of 35x sales but on the public side it's purely a question of how long public markets will remain irrational. 

 

Whenever someone asks “has anyone ever” the answer is generally yes. It’s a big world out there, don’t be so lacking in imagination

Easier to see this if you focus on the denominator - 35x $1mm is just $35mm. So any minimal revenue company that makes it. , e.g., in biotech where 100x some minimal amount of grant revenue while in clinical development is common

Also plenty that just grew into their valuation and beyond. Amazon was >50x during internet bubble.

 

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