Update on the 2.0 Hedge Fund Sensations

Alright guys so I found out some more information about these guys at my school who are starting a hedge fund. I learned today that they only have $3000 in their account so far and that they are leveraged 200:1 and trading 30 year bond futures. Furthermore, in every trade they make they only hold %0.5 equity in their position. I also asked one of the "fund managers" about his opinion on the housing numbers today and he promptly responded by saying, "I don't look at that shit! I only take technical analysis into account! Those economic indicators will f*ck you up!"

In my opinion these guys are just being reckless and if you build a simulation with the above variables to predict their performance with a 50/50 success rate (in reality their success rate could be a lot less) it shows that after a handful of trades these guys are going to be bust.

8 Comments
 

In all seriousness, if you are millionaire, perhaps spreading it around a couple hundred silly mini-funds like is wiser than parking 1 million in a single fund (where the principals, although they graduated from HBS, prob don't generate real alpha).

 
AmphipathicIn all seriousness, if you are millionaire, perhaps spreading it around a couple hundred silly mini-funds like is wiser than parking 1 million in a single fund (where the principals, although they graduated from HBS, prob don't generate real alpha).
Uhhhhhh....no it's not.
 
Best Response
Amphipathic
SirTradesaLot
AmphipathicIn all seriousness, if you are millionaire, perhaps spreading it around a couple hundred silly mini-funds like is wiser than parking 1 million in a single fund (where the principals, although they graduated from HBS, prob don't generate real alpha).
Uhhhhhh....no it's not.

http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2011/11/21/hedge-funds-kiss-their-alpha-goodbye/

You said it's better to put your money in hundreds of silly mini-funds like this....that is absolutely not true, despite your article. Do you realize how much audit and other ongoing expenses are for a fund (that the investors have to bear)? It is many multiples of the assets in $3,000 fund. There won't be anything left, even if they kill it.
 

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