yes know for sure analysts also on the list. heard will be long list but need more insights from more senior up

 
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That’s true but logically speaking: An2 are the 2nd cheapest source of labor and are vastly more productive than An1 and As0 (and in most cases, As1).

Plus, An2 is subject to a 2 year contract. You only need to pay them for 8 more months if you don’t lay them off. If, for example, MS was thinking of laying off 30 An2s, why not just lay off 15 As1s (also means you save on bonuses due in Q1 2023), have more bodies able to do more work and hire laterals to replace the laid off As1s when the An2s leave and business picks up?

At the end of the day, MS isn’t going to have that much trouble finding willing laterals, especially if street wide bonuses are down, with people generally having a “grass is greener” attitude to moving banks after a shitty bonus year.

 

Not sure how MS does it, but presumably newly promoted are a more valuable cut because they have less deferred comp that will need to be paid out.

 

top sector coverage group. promotion year. Worried to death

 

I would be more than happy to not only get paid a severance, but also keep all unvested stock and move on from this god forsaken job

View this as a positive, as we all should

 

BB’s will see outsized pain this cycle. Management, like that of any other major public corporation, will manage to meet public targets. Jamie D has a big problem, he needs to build an additional $200bn in capital. At a ~12% CET1 he needs to build $20bn+ in equity (suspended buybacks over the summer), coupled with a 15% ROE target and he needs to find 3bn in net income. Bank of America and Citi have the same issue..plus tack on SEC fines (which will be allocated to the Institutional Business). For those wondering, the blood will be shed in the first half of December. They will use the bonuses they’ve been accruing all year to fund severance. 2023 Budgets will get marked up with comments like “+250bps improvement to ‘23 PBT margin due to Dec. action”…

 

Heard that GS senior mgmt has basically confirmed another round of layoffs in December if no improvements.

 

The RIFs primarily affect those who are low performers and those who were on the cusp in the past (PIP'd guys) but were kept on due to needing headcount to support dealflow. If you're a strong performer, you really don't have a lot of reason to worry.

 

any idea on the perception of individuals who successfully got off a PIP?

 

Will be based on your review files and general perception from MDs/Group Heads reputation-wise. If you were on a PIP and then got off, that likely makes you pretty strong in the team's eyes as a PIP is generally a death sentence and is a soft way of moving you off the platform. But bouncing back from that is really powerful so I'd think you'd be viewed as a strong performer. Obviously the other train of thought is that you were PIP'd and are by default not the strongest performer, no matter your efforts to get off so it's definitely a consideration..

 

I love those who got off PIP. Shows a lot of resilience and heart and a real motivated person who wants to get better. A lot of those who get on PIP are those who just dont care or are actually incapable. Someone who gets off PIP shows me that they were just a late bloomer and I will always take someone who shows real heart for the job over someone who just bloomed early.

 

The last part is true, but you can easily be part of RIFs due to politics, alignment to the wrong sector / MD, tenure, or diversity goals. Not trying to instill any fear in those anxious about layoffs, but I’ve been around long enough to see people get good performance reviews, then laid off when the market sours…

 

Brace for impact. Tuesday. Layoffs. Good luck to all.

 

Yes - NY HQ signs off on Monday, then pull trigger on Tuesday (first in APAC, then EMEA, then Americas). This is generally the time line for all major US BBs

 

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