Reneging BB for buy-side - how risky

I am currently in a position where i accepted a FT FO offer after my junior summer at a BB. I have been going through the interview process at a large buy-side firm and have recently been asked for a reference check. I told the buy-side firm that I received a FT offer from the BB firm but did not accept it.

  1. What are the odds that they find out that I did accept the BB role (I've respectfully asked my reference there to not reveal that I accepted their offer, which they agreed to)
  2. Subsequently, what are the odds that they care that I am planning on reneging if they were to offer me (I would take the buy-side role over the BB role in a heart beat)
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