AI Sucks
Thought the Industrial Revolution was bad? AI is worse.
Enjoy living in Idiocracy by 2040 (best case). If you’d happily cheat yourself out of the joys (pain) of working hard to analyse and digest information (that mind you will further your understanding of your field) then you deserve what’s coming for you.
Change my mind.
Caveat - if you are already a seasoned professional I don’t care, you did the work. For the Jrs, fucking do the work, you’re not dangerous, you memorized brain teasers ffs.
So you want to prevent the consequences of adopting a particular technology in order to reap the benefits of the adoption of other technologies? The existence of this industry in its current state was allowed for by technologies such as the desktop computers, for example; however, desktop computers themselves replaced roles like "manual bookkeeper" or "manual calculator." Is a manual bookkeeper's strife with the desktop computer any less valid than your strife with AI? This line you're trying to draw is quite arbitrary, and I suspect the reason why you draw it at this point in time is because it would benefit you personally to do so.
The issue is that our entire education system and white collar industry was based on the economic ideea that information is "capital", so it had some value. That's why university was so sought after, why white collar jobs were paid so much, and so on.
So the issue is that we find it hard to think of a world that will be completely different education/professional-wise to how we were used to live. But we'll adjust, and probably will be even better because we waste a lot of things worldwide, we do extremely inefficient lots of things,
so imagine that now a farmer in Kenya can brainstorm with GPT some ideas on how to farm some hard to farm land, on how to reduce some waste/recycle,
imagine now that we'll develop many things in medicine that until now took more time - saw recently about how AI is able to detect a male vs. female iris, and doctors don't understand how, (but it's because of billions of images being aggregate and deriving some statistical observations).
the entire model of profiting from someone's ignorance will be gone, which to begin, was always what we criticized as "bullshit/parasitic" jobs. So in the next decades is when we'll start to see true meritocracy and not "information gatekeeping to benefit from someone's ignorance aka what lawyers did almost all their lives, but also any other professional|".
However, people will still pay others to do things for them under a delegation model, and someone whom they trust, so it's not as lost. Time is still finite, so outsourcing/delegation - even if someone could do it - will remain, it's just that you'll need to step up and be able to do more complex work that will be really valued.
Still, this is a long-shot. Something more close would be the fact that despite AI being able to do many of those, you still need someone to double check its work because as the saying goes 'you don't know what you don't know', and the things that fuck you the most business-wise are the things you missed/got wrong. So will still need professionals: bankers/lawyers/etc. behind your asks even if they can be done w AI
If you think about labor markets / labor allocation valuing different skills, AI will lead to a lower valuation placed on "access to information / expertise" and a higher valuation on "ability to execute / self-agency" which I think is a positive trend IMO.
A machine can tell you if a color is #000070 or it's #000075. There is no human on earth who can do that. Yet, painters exist.
AI is only going to get better at what it does. But it's miles away from being able to replace everything humans can do.
The main problem with AI is that is uses good information and bad information. Some people who want to take short cuts use it because they do not want to do the work and look for good sources.
Bring a mask with you for when you get left in the dust pal
We are already living in idiocracy. Just thought that point had to be made.
What's happening in colleges now is wild, literally just teacher's using AI to turn lesson plans into entire classes and students using AI to do the assignments/summarize everything, in some cases to cheat through the entire tests. College is rapidly losing what little attempts remained for teaching critical thought and just becoming a $70k course on how to write prompts. I don't think Idiocracy by 2040 is wrong and if anything is too generously time constrained.
Source?
I'm not your EA pal go do the diligence yourself if you don't believe me, the information is public and plentiful.
Colleges as they exist today will largely die out. T20 schools will be fine because there’s enough rich people to fill that, with a long history of legacy
Others are screwed long term, at least in the current form they are in
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