Dividend Arbitrage?

Waste Management announced a quarterly dividend of $0.375/share to shareholders of record 6/6/14 to be paid on 6/20/14.

Can’t I buy WM on 6/5/14, collect the dividend, sell on 6/21/14, and collect a ~0.85% profit? Annualized, that’s an ~18% return. I can do that routinely whenever companies issue a dividend.

What am I missing here?

9 Comments
 
LBT

Implied stock price drop on the ex-date

Can't I just short the day before then?

@HFer_wannabe: It's the exchange that does that? I thought that's what's supposed to happen under the efficient market hypothesis.

heister: Look at all these wannabe richies hating on an expensive salad. https://arthuxtable.com/
 
GoldenCinderblock LBT:

Implied stock price drop on the ex-date

Can't I just short the day before then?

@HFer_wannabe: It's the exchange that does that? I thought that's what's supposed to happen under the efficient market hypothesis.

You would think that, but I remember reading in some Series prep saying that the exchange adjusts the stock. Someone might need to confirm that tho

 

So easy a monkey could do it... no actually as mentioned the price drops on ex date and you are forgetting the tax claim on the dividend.

"When you expect things to happen - strangely enough - they do happen." - JP Morgan
 
Best Response

You are making a couple incorrect assumptions. First, if you bought the stock on 6/5 you wouldn’t even be entitled to collect the dividend in the first place. If the record date is 6/6 then the ex-dividend date is most likely 6/4, which means you would need to own the stock at the close on 6/3. You can then sell the stock on the ex-dividend date or anytime thereafter and you will collect the dividend on 6/20 (no need to hold the stock until 6/20 as your post implies).

Second, at the open of the ex-dividend date, the stock price will drop $0.375/share to adjust for the dividend. It is not the exchange that does this but the supply/demand of the market participants. If the value of an asset is worth the present value of its future cash flows, a buyer on the ex-dividend date is no longer entitled to the dividend cash flow, so he would correspondingly pay $0.375/share less than he would the day before.

 

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heister: Look at all these wannabe richies hating on an expensive salad. https://arthuxtable.com/

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