LinkedIn Files Secondary Offering

Well this is surprising. Yesterday LinkedIn filed paperwork to bring a secondary offering of as much as $1.15 billion if the full shoe is exercised. Listed under Use of Proceeds: We kinda just want the dough.

Seriously. The company is taking advantage of an extremely liquid market and the fact that their stock has basically been unstoppable since their IPO in 2011. This secondary will raise more than twice what the IPO raised, and the company is giving up less than half the shares.

I know Patrick has been long forever, and I've never really taken a serious look at the stock. I always thought it was overvalued, but what do I know? I finally broke down and bought some AMZN the other day after maintaining the same belief about it for the past several years.

I'd love to hear what you guys think the company is up to. They've already got almost a billion in cash, and now they're raising another billion. I can't help thinking this raise falls into the "Why does a dog lick his balls?" (because he can) category. Which says something bubblicious about the market right now. In more reasonable times I don't think an offering like this would fly.

But I've been wrong about everything else when it comes to LNKD, so I'm probably wrong about this, too. Maybe they're eyeing up some juicy acquisition, though I have no idea who might be appealing to them being that they're already the 800-pound gorilla in the professional networking space.

What do you guys think? Strategic, or just opportunistic?

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Best Response

The market cap of LNKD is now almost neck and neck with Yahoo & their multiples are insane (last time I checked, EV/sales at 15x & EV/EBITDA at 62x). They have no debt and given their so-so return ratios & OPM, it's safe to say they'll remain in acquisition mode & look to expand abroad. My bet remains on the APAC region, where y/y revenue increase was 75%, but only accounted for 8% of total sales (US is 62%). The real question is by how much will they overpay? As we speak, membership growth hit 37% y/y, the first time they've done that since the IPO.

All the world's indeed a stage, And we are merely players, Performers and portrayers, Each another's audience, Outside the gilded cage - Limelight (1981)
 

Aquisitions. I'd look at competitors and add on services that LNKD will likely [or try to] buy over the next couple of years. Buy now and then sell when the stocks pop as the aquisitions are announced.

Get busy living
 

Well that's certainly churching it up a bit. I'm old school, baby. Any equity offering post-IPO is a secondary (or tertiary, etc...).

From Investopedia:

Definition of 'Secondary Offering' 1. The issuance of new stock for public sale from a company that has already made its initial public offering (IPO). Usually, these kinds of public offerings are made by companies wishing to refinance, or raise capital for growth. Money raised from these kinds of secondary offerings goes to the company, through the investment bank that underwrites the offering. Investment banks are issued an allotment, and possibly an overallotment which they may choose to exercise if there is a strong possibility of making money on the spread between the allotment price and the selling price of the securities.
 

@Eddie that's what I always thought too when I was working in S&T. People called them "secondaries". (We also call vega a greek letter). But when I used that term with a Morgan Stanley MD who was teaching a corporate restructuring course, I got an earful. They're called seasoned equity offerings or follow-on offerings; you'll never see the term "secondary" in a prospectus.

Wikipedia:

A secondary market offering should not be confused with a follow-on offering, otherwise known as a subsequent offering, or a dilutive secondary offering. In a follow-on offering, the company itself places new shares onto the market, thus diluting the existing shares.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secondary_market_offering

(Obviously edited by an investment banker, not a salesperson)

 

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