ARR based lending
Hi Monkeys,
Annual recurring revenue based lending seems to be getting more focus. Maybe as investors try to move to profitability, affecting growth rates and so leverage can help.
What has been your experience with ARR based lending? Lenders? Terms? Covenants?
ARR based lending is quickly going out of vogue in lockstep with how infatuation with speculative growth software companies has dwindled to tolerance and then intolerance.
ARR-based loans are here to stay - as MM and UMM PE firms (Thoma, Vista, Advent, etc.) increasingly target smaller / higher-growth tech names that are either not yet profitable or currently generate 20% margins. ARR loans aim solve for the same funded debt as EBITDA-based deals; allowing them to access the capital needed to continue along the path to increased scale / maturation (as mature SaaS businesses generate margins in the 35-50% range). I would say the pricing premium is in the +50bps range on average (e.g., 2.75x ARR deal priced at +600 over would equate to +550 over for a 6.75x loan). On the covenant side, there is typically a Maximum Debt / ARR Ratio set at either a static level (atypical) or a 35-40% cushion to closing with 1-2 step-downs no earlier than 12-24 months post-close. Given the fact that the profitability is limited (or non-existent), there is usually a minimum liquidity covenant set in the ~$5MM range — to account for the inherent risk related to lending millions of dollars, equating to multiples of revenue, to an unprofitable business). The risk-reward from a debt perspective doesn’t honestly make much sense… however, there is typically a concept whereby the loan automatically converts to an EBITDA-based deal 3 years (36 months) post-close. However, even this is now getting wiped from negotiations to be based only on Borrower’s election / discretion or not at all (aka an ARR loan for life). The positive thing about these deals (from a debt perspective) is that these businesses typically trade for 10x+ ARR, so even if you are at a 3x attachment point, you are at 30% LTV… with a ton of equity beneath you. In short, ARR loans are here to stay — and will only become more aggressive (given: huge funds being raised by PE firms who need to expand their target universe to include smaller; coupled with tons of capital raised on the private credit side looking to deploy alongside top PE firms).
See lots of flips to cash flow based after X # of years
Obviously higher than average rates and often have a PIK option
Lots of private lenders and some banks are active
2x ARR is kind of the low end, seen it up to ~4x
"Flip" is becoming increasing uncommon
Rates are slightly higher than regular way 1L/Uni, all depends on credit quality though
PIK option for part of it is a common ask
What is flip?
Flip to EBITDA based loan after a while, once company improves margins
They all start with an ARR based covenant (eg. funded debt to ARR of no more than 3.5x) but historically always "fipped" to EBITDA based covenant (eg. funded debt to EBITDA of no more than 8x). This "flip" has become less of a requirement.
How big does the ARR need to be to consider an ARR lend?
Maybe $10MM? A bank maybe goes smaller / lower multiple
Depends on situation, quality of Company, sponsor, use of proceeds, etc
I don’t think it’s about the size of ARR but the doc. Covenant will be based on ARR instead of EBITDA
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