How Hard is it to Hold Onto Your PE Seat?

Obviously this is a function of rates/the current market, but seems to me that lately a lot of associate level folks in PE on this site are posting about being forced out / feeling anxious about not having a PE seat for much longer. 

It's a given that MF funds tend to have 2&out programs, but for people at MM shops with historically solid returns, how tough is it to hold onto a seat either at your current firm or end up at a solid lateral? 

Feeling anxious as an intern about something so far out of my control obviously isn't productive, but the more I read the doomposting on this site, the less PE feels like "the promised land". 

TL;DR -- If I want to stay in PE long-term, what are the odds I even make it to 30? (What percentage of MM-level exits are forced vs. choice?) 

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