Origination - How to take it forward? Seeking advice
Hi fellow Monkeys,
First and foremost, I think it is important to set the scene so a bit about myself. Currently a VP (still a relatively green one) at a MM firm which is part of a wider organisation with other investments across credit and growth equity amongst other things.
For the past few years and as part of my personal development to get promoted to VP, I developed a very keen interest into a niche industry which is asset heavy. I spent a lot of time developing a network, contacts and being able to take quite quickly informed views on the sector and underlying opportunities. I firmly believe there is a gap and an opportunity to take advantage of in this neglected sector. Not entirely sure why this gap opened, I am not trying to reinvent the wheel but perhaps people just don't like boring sector.
The market is quite large and fragmented but requiring significant firepower so I am trying to put together an internal pitch to present the opportunity and tickle my senior management on the sector. As I said, the opportunity necessitates significant funding so it will probably require some form of side-car vehicle. Having spent few years at my current shop, this will end up as follows:
1) Base Case: In this scenario, they will be receptive giving me a pat in the back for the work but with no real guidance on how to take it forward and kicking the can down the road. Estimating this outcome at 60%
2) Best Case: Very enthusiastic and keen to actively pursue it, giving me the tools and access to the relevant internal individuals in order to start putting a proper BP together for fundraising and seed acquisition. Estimating this outcome at 30%
3) Worst Case: Not keen on the opportunity and decide to shut it down immediately. Estimating this outcome at 10%
In the Base Case scenario, what would you do? I was thinking to go bring the idea directly to our Global CIO who I have a good access to but this means going above my senior management which could backfire to my face. As far as I know, our Global CIO is quite open to new ideas as long as there is a path to raise external AUM which I believe we can achieve if we put significant effort into. I am willing to step up quite extensively (on top of my day to day job) but I am still quite 'junior' and obviously need support or at least solid guidances.
In the event of the Worst Case scenario, would you just put the whole idea in a drawer and move on or keep pursuing the idea and pitching it to other funds?
Any views or suggestions are welcomed.
Thanks a lot!
Based on the most helpful WSO content, here are some detailed steps and advice for your situation:
Scenario Analysis and Action Plan
1. Base Case Scenario (60% Probability)
2. Best Case Scenario (30% Probability)
3. Worst Case Scenario (10% Probability)
Additional Considerations
Approaching the Global CIO:
Personal Development:
Conclusion
Navigating internal pitches and gaining support for new ideas can be challenging, especially in a large and fragmented market. By carefully analyzing the scenarios, seeking feedback, building alliances, and considering external options, you can increase the chances of successfully advancing your idea. Remember to document your work, leverage available resources, and continuously develop your skills and network.
Good luck!
Sources: How would you have responded? Hypothetical Pitchbook Error Scenario, How long does it take to formulate a investment idea / stock pitch, Leaving Banking - End of PE Chances?, delete delete delete delete, How long does it take to formulate a investment idea / stock pitch
Probably in a very different sector but equally interested to hear some views. Currently a mid-level VP and trying to find my own vertical to develop.
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