SaaS PE technical question

This is an older question on this forum but am unsure what correct answer would be.

Let's say the date is 1 Jan 2018. You are a business with one customer, a 2year software contract with $100M ACV. The contract starts 1 Jul 2018. Walk me through the 3 statements for this year. Now walk me through 3 statements assuming the date is 1 Jan 2019.

Now, walk me through the three statements assuming the date is 1 Jan 2018 and the contract starts 1 Jan 2018 as well. What are the differences based on contract start? Why does that matter?

.

The question is designed to get at the differences in annual cash flow based on whether something is recognized mid or beginning of year based on contract date, and that the rest is couched in deferred revenue. This can affect valuations for unsavvy investors. You should really get comfortable with this question because this was the hardest one I had over tons of interviews.

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Based on the most helpful WSO content, here's how to approach this SaaS PE technical question:

Scenario 1: Date is 1 Jan 2018, contract starts 1 Jul 2018 (2-year, $100M ACV)

  • Income Statement (I/S):

    • No revenue is recognized in the first half of the year (Jan-Jun).
    • From Jul-Dec, $25M of revenue is recognized ($100M ACV ÷ 2 years = $50M/year; $50M ÷ 12 months × 6 months = $25M).
    • Assuming a 30% tax rate and $2M COGS per month, pretax profit = $25M - $12M (COGS) = $13M. Net income = $13M × (1 - 0.3) = $9.1M.
  • Cash Flow Statement (CFS):

    • If the full $100M is billed upfront, cash inflow of $100M is recorded under CFO (increase in deferred revenue).
    • Net income of $9.1M flows into CFO.
    • Adjustments for deferred revenue: $25M recognized as revenue reduces deferred revenue, so net CFO impact = $100M - $25M = $75M.
  • Balance Sheet (B/S):

    • Cash increases by $75M (from CFO).
    • Deferred revenue liability decreases by $25M (from $100M to $75M).
    • Retained earnings increase by $9.1M (net income).

Scenario 2: Date is 1 Jan 2019, contract started 1 Jul 2018

  • Income Statement (I/S):

    • Full year of revenue is recognized: $50M (as $100M ACV ÷ 2 years = $50M/year).
    • Assuming $2M COGS per month, annual COGS = $24M. Pretax profit = $50M - $24M = $26M. Net income = $26M × (1 - 0.3) = $18.2M.
  • Cash Flow Statement (CFS):

    • No new cash inflow since the $100M was billed upfront in 2018.
    • Net income of $18.2M flows into CFO.
    • Adjustments for deferred revenue: $50M recognized as revenue reduces deferred revenue, so net CFO impact = -$50M + $18.2M = -$31.8M.
  • Balance Sheet (B/S):

    • Cash decreases by $31.8M (from CFO).
    • Deferred revenue liability decreases by $50M (from $75M to $25M).
    • Retained earnings increase by $18.2M (net income).

Scenario 3: Date is 1 Jan 2018, contract starts 1 Jan 2018

  • Income Statement (I/S):

    • Full year of revenue is recognized: $50M (as $100M ACV ÷ 2 years = $50M/year).
    • Assuming $2M COGS per month, annual COGS = $24M. Pretax profit = $50M - $24M = $26M. Net income = $26M × (1 - 0.3) = $18.2M.
  • Cash Flow Statement (CFS):

    • If the full $100M is billed upfront, cash inflow of $100M is recorded under CFO (increase in deferred revenue).
    • Net income of $18.2M flows into CFO.
    • Adjustments for deferred revenue: $50M recognized as revenue reduces deferred revenue, so net CFO impact = $100M - $50M = $50M.
  • Balance Sheet (B/S):

    • Cash increases by $50M (from CFO).
    • Deferred revenue liability decreases by $50M (from $100M to $50M).
    • Retained earnings increase by $18.2M (net income).

Key Differences Based on Contract Start:

  1. Timing of Revenue Recognition:

    • Mid-year start (Scenario 1) results in partial revenue recognition in the first year, while full-year start (Scenario 3) allows for full-year revenue recognition.
    • This impacts net income and retained earnings.
  2. Deferred Revenue Impact:

    • Deferred revenue decreases more significantly in the first year for a full-year start (Scenario 3) compared to a mid-year start (Scenario 1).
  3. Cash Flow Timing:

    • Cash inflow from billing upfront is the same across scenarios, but the timing of deferred revenue recognition affects CFO adjustments.
  4. Valuation Implications:

    • Investors need to understand how deferred revenue impacts cash flow and working capital. Misinterpreting these dynamics can lead to incorrect valuations, especially for SaaS businesses with upfront billing.

This question tests your understanding of revenue recognition, deferred revenue, and their impact on financial statements. It’s crucial to grasp these concepts for SaaS PE interviews.

Sources: Accounting question on Deferred Revenue, PE recruiting technical questions (software specific), PE recruiting technical questions (software specific), Net working capital and deferred revenue, SaaS Deal., DCF Modeling Course ~ Pre-training text.pdf

I'm an AI bot trained on the most helpful WSO content across 17+ years.
 
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Here's the three permutations I considered. Only flag, in scenario #1, sometimes it's negotiable/debatable as to when the client prepays again (at contract anniversary versus launch anniversary, etc.).

Edit: My paste-out was too small. Here's a link instead, pardon the bad formatting. I never use Sheets.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTWfu-4Lo79P2i6tm9H0DVp…

 

Why is cash / DR 1,200? Isn't it $100M ACV so wouldn't $8.3M (100 /12) get recognized every month instead of $100M? 

 

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