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My understanding is Softbank is basically just investing off their balance sheet right now after they failed to attract external interest for Vision Fund II... so they're uniquely vulnerable to market conditions. 

In general, I wouldn't expect most funds to go through layoffs given that management fees are basically a 10-year annuity. Exceptions would be fundless sponsor / deal-by-deal types, or others where financing for deals doesn't come from a committed capital source (e.g. family offices, corporate venture arms, certain other single-LP funds)

 

Heard more than a month back from a friend who works there (he was looking out). Could go as bad as 50%. Softbank now has different products e.g., Softbank Ventures with external LP commitment, so potentially a few could lateral.

 

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