Q&A: I am a High-Stakes Professional Fantasy Football Player
Hi Monkeys,
Patrick gave me his blessing to do this, so figured now is a good time. I've followed this site for years, and I am also a high-stakes Fantasy Football player ($1,000+ Buy-in leagues) and Fantasy Football consultant (doing some pro bono work for friends and coworkers as well), although my day job is still working at a bulge bracket IB. I've played for the last 5 years professionally and have spent years writing up scouting reports, building Excel models, etc. I wanted to do a Q&A to let users ask any questions they might have, or use the forum for us to bounce ideas off of each other: Can Lamar Jackson repeat as QB1? (Probably not.) Can George Kittle wrestle the overall TE ranking from Kelce? (I think so). Who might surpise at running back this year? (Not who you think). Which Rams WR do you want? (Also not likely who you think) Any questions or concerns I'm happy to answer!
I'm playing a keeper league for the first time this year, any advice or guys to keep an eye on?
Is Lamar Jackson going to pull a RG3?
I'm no fantasy football expert, just a dedicated NFL Fan, but to compare an injury prone guy who threw 16-12 (TDs-Interceptions) in his second year to a guy who went 36-6 in his second year is a little whack. Not all running quarterbacks are the same haha.
Underrated QBs or WRs that might fall into later rounds?
Given your success, why not abandon fantasy football in favor of sports betting? I would imagine that would be far more lucrative.
Sports betting is *way* harder - you're playing against the house.
Fantasy you're up against the average WallStreetBets forum member; all of the stats majors who used to dominate online poker moved over to fantasy for this very reason.
Q: When did $1,000+ buy-ins become high stakes?
When he got married and had to keep it from his wife.
Yes that, or you're gambling the fraternity dues
Heyooooooo
Man time flies, Soze became a VP.
Cheers!
i like jello
Stop the cap
nontarget afff lmao
Why don't you quit the IBD gig and pursue full time?
What is your draft strategy
best sleeper WR's?
best sleeper RB's?
what round would you pick up your K and your D/ST?
up and coming RB's?
Do you think Aaron Jones or Davante Adams are set up for a good season behind Rodgers this year?
1) What's your edge compared to competitors / peers?
2) When you say writing scouting reports, these are for fellow fantasy players right? Let me know if you ever post these.
3) Why haven't you gone full time into fantasy?
As a professional fantasy athlete, what are your thoughts on luck vs skill in winning fantasy leagues. For example, in a 10 person, standard scoring, snake draft league with 9 other average players, so let's say those who skim a few articles draft via an online cheatsheet, and roughly pay attention to the games/waivers each week, do you find that you can consistently outplay them? Out of 10 times, how many times do you think you could win this type of league?
My feeling has always been that in fantasy football, there's a pretty healthy dose of luck involved. At the end of the day, unless you're in the locker room or talking to the coaches, there are so many tossups on a weekly basis overanalyzing actually doesn't do as much as you'd think. Completely open to being proven wrong on this though.
Honestly the most you can affect your team is through the draft and then there’s only so much that can be done after. Sure there are some sleepers on the waivers or you can pull off a trade if there are retards in the league but I’d say the most skill is in the draft. Afterwards yea it’s mostly luck.
Lol imagine Matthew Berry as your MD ...
How good is auto picking? Seems to work pretty well for me
Any advice or resources you would recommend for someone looking to expand their fantasy repertoire to include football?
Do you play daily fantasy site? what is your ROI?
Thoughts on the auction/salary cap drafts? I did one with my league for the first time this year and loved it, haven't seen it too widely used though
Quite an exhilarating AMA
How would you even find high stakes fantasy football games?
Every game I’m in is with friends and it’s a great way to stay in touch. And their medium stakes by these standing $500 buy-ins. I don’t see a lot of guys wanting to let acquaintances running analytics into their games.
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Surprised 1k is considered high-stakes, I'm wagering 1k or so per Sunday on games and never considered that high-stakes just more of a reason to watch shitty games like Browns vs Bengals.
My question to you (and anyone who wants to chime in) is how important do you think watching football games is versus just following data/spreedsheets? Over the last few years I've noticed a lot more focus on using more sophisticated data and models to draft and trade (ESPN has an IBM trade analyzer WTF?). Obviously data has always been a very important part of bookmaking but people are shifting over to fantasy football now. As a person who really likes watching football and enjoys the "X's and O's", I feel like theres a lot that is missed by just looking at numbers.
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