Q&A: I am a High-Stakes Professional Fantasy Football Player

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Hi Monkeys,

Patrick gave me his blessing to do this, so figured now is a good time. I've followed this site for years, and I am also a high-stakes Fantasy Football player ($1,000+ Buy-in leagues) and Fantasy Football consultant (doing some pro bono work for friends and coworkers as well), although my day job is still working at a bulge bracket IB. I've played for the last 5 years professionally and have spent years writing up scouting reports, building Excel models, etc. I wanted to do a Q&A to let users ask any questions they might have, or use the forum for us to bounce ideas off of each other: Can Lamar Jackson repeat as QB1? (Probably not.) Can George Kittle wrestle the overall TE ranking from Kelce? (I think so). Who might surpise at running back this year? (Not who you think). Which Rams WR do you want? (Also not likely who you think) Any questions or concerns I'm happy to answer!
 

 

 

Comments (35)

 
  • Intern in IB - Ind
Sep 2, 2020 - 12:54pm

Is Lamar Jackson going to pull a RG3?

Array
 
Sep 3, 2020 - 2:17pm

I'm no fantasy football expert, just a dedicated NFL Fan, but to compare an injury prone guy who threw 16-12 (TDs-Interceptions) in his second year to a guy who went 36-6 in his second year is a little whack. Not all running quarterbacks are the same haha.

There is more than one way to get there. I'd rather have 30 chapters than 3000 pages.
 
  • Analyst 3+ in IB-M&A
Sep 2, 2020 - 4:44pm

i like jello

What concert costs 45 cents? 50 Cent feat. Nickelback.
 
Sep 2, 2020 - 6:30pm

1) What's your edge compared to competitors / peers?

2) When you say writing scouting reports, these are for fellow fantasy players right? Let me know if you ever post these. 

3) Why haven't you gone full time into fantasy?

Array
 
Sep 3, 2020 - 10:11am

As a professional fantasy athlete, what are your thoughts on luck vs skill in winning fantasy leagues. For example, in a 10 person, standard scoring, snake draft league with 9 other average players, so let's say those who skim a few articles draft via an online cheatsheet, and roughly pay attention to the games/waivers each week, do you find that you can consistently outplay them? Out of 10 times, how many times do you think you could win this type of league? 

 

My feeling has always been that in fantasy football, there's a pretty healthy dose of luck involved. At the end of the day, unless you're in the locker room or talking to the coaches, there are so many tossups on a weekly basis overanalyzing actually doesn't do as much as you'd think. Completely open to being proven wrong on this though.

 
  • Intern in IB - Gen
Sep 3, 2020 - 1:42pm

Honestly the most you can affect your team is through the draft and then there’s only so much that can be done after. Sure there are some sleepers on the waivers or you can pull off a trade if there are retards in the league but I’d say the most skill is in the draft. Afterwards yea it’s mostly luck.

Array
 
  • Analyst 1 in IB - Ind
Sep 3, 2020 - 3:21pm

Any advice or resources you would recommend for someone looking to expand their fantasy repertoire to include football?

 
  • Prospect in RE - Comm
Sep 15, 2020 - 2:43pm

1. Thoughts on AJ Brown after last night? 

2. Thoughts on Mixon? Will he be an RB1?

3. Thoughts on Jonathan Taylor? Can he actually be an RB1?

4. Thoughts on Godwin with Brady as his QB now?

Thanks for doing this. My third year playing fantasy and I'm addicted. 

 

Oh and - rate my team? :) 

 

10 team 0.5 ppr 

QB: Josh Allen

RB: Zeke, Mixon, Jonathan Taylor, Kareem Hunt, David Montgomery, Boston Scott (Dropping)

WR: Godwin, AJB, Sutton, Diontae Johnson

TE: Gesicki (Trying to get Goedert and/or Fant off waivers)

K: Yunghoe

DST: Streaming

 
Sep 15, 2020 - 4:21pm

How would you even find high stakes fantasy football games?

 

Every game I’m in is with friends and it’s a great way to stay in touch.  And their medium stakes by these standing $500 buy-ins.  I don’t see a lot of guys wanting to let acquaintances running analytics into their games. 

 
  • Intern in IB - Gen
Sep 16, 2020 - 11:03am

NFCC has some contests where the buy ins can get up there. Off the top of my head I don't remember what the top buys in are but it isn't unusual to see $2,500 buy ins. 

I was in a $2,500 league and won $25k a few years back when I was in college. I'm also very friendly with someone who won $3.5 million that same year. 

 

I've dialed it back a bit in the past few years because I can't dedicate as much time to it. One interesting nugget is that the guy who won the $3.5 million routinely plays in contests with Matthew Berry and says he very rarely cracks the top 5-10 in any of the leagues he's played with him in. 

 
Sep 17, 2020 - 10:07am

Surprised 1k is considered high-stakes, I'm wagering 1k or so per Sunday on games and never considered that high-stakes just more of a reason to watch shitty games like Browns vs Bengals.

My question to you (and anyone who wants to chime in) is how important do you think watching football games is versus just following data/spreedsheets? Over the last few years I've noticed a lot more focus on using more sophisticated data and models to draft and trade (ESPN has an IBM trade analyzer WTF?). Obviously data has always been a very important part of bookmaking but people are shifting over to fantasy football now. As a person who really likes watching football and enjoys the "X's and O's", I feel like theres a lot that is missed by just looking at numbers.

 
  • Intern in IB - Gen
Sep 17, 2020 - 12:43pm

$1k is not really high stakes but most of these guys that I know that do this for a living and are making a decent amount of money are in 15-20 leagues with buy ins of $1k or more, which can add up quickly. They'll also have 100's and in some cases thousands of entries each week in Fanduel and Draftkings contests, which can require additional capital ranging from $100-$5,000/week. A few given the amount of research that goes into selecting players will also bet anywhere from $3-5k per week. So over the course of the year you're putting a little less than $65k in play on the low end depending on how you deploy capital. 

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