Quants in M&A? Is this a thing now?

There have been a ton of threads regarding automation/AI in investment banking over the past 6 months to a year. Recently came across this job posting on LinkedIn from Lazard. I'm not necessarily interested in the position but more curious on what current bankers think about this job posting?

https://lazard.taleo.net/careersection/2/jobdetai…

"The Quantitative M&A team at Lazard leverages buy side expertise and analytical techniques to offer clients unique insights on transactions, market behavior, and speculative investor positioning. Day-to-day responsibilities of the analyst are diverse and include designing, building, and interpreting robust quantitative models; real-time merger arbitrage analysis; performing in-depth research on trends in M&A; interacting with senior bankers and clients; and working closely with industry teams."

26 Comments
 

I can't say for sure but if this is similar to some other groups I've seen then they are assessing alternative investments using specialists because of scarce private markets financials.

Think PE/VC/Growth Equity/Principal Investments where you would like to forecast returns for buyside acquisitions and financing rounds Pre-IPO etc...

This is not "quant" like you'd use it when referring to Renaissance for example.

 

They're just using colorful language to say "you'll be building comps and accretion/dilution models." Laz is attempting to make the job title sound sophisticated and intelligent when it really is just a standard M&A analyst gig.

 

I think they are using quantitative analyst to make it sound sexy. This way the analyst can go "I'm a quant." It didn't emphasize any required stem background or years of experience in a quantitative field which seems to normally par the course for quantitative finance positions.

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Not sure but I got the feeling that they're about to start analyzing previous valuation models to come up with algorithms that can learn from those models and start doing valuations automatically. Heard of one startup doing this, can't find the name but they had received quite close valuations from their algorithms compared to the ones that the deals were done at. Probably the post is not that quant heavy, just riding that sexy title to receive attention.

But yeah, I think the valuation in M&A part can be and will be automated at some point. IB being very much about relationship business will ensure that it can't be fully automated but the grunt work will disappear at some point. Tough times for 2030 SAs.

 

I find this incredibly ironic because the idea of using quantitative methods to "add value" to M&A is an oxymoron in itself. You can spin your wheels and run as many models as you want with varying sensitivities to spit out any permutation of values, but at the end of the day M&A is a negotiation business and any "valuation" that you perform is just to prove that you did your homework in case the deal blows up. Whatever number a quantitative model spits out may not be more accurate than a DCF done by a recent graduate if the strategic buyer doesn't see eye to eye with what the model is suggesting.

In terms of automation of the valuation process, I think this forum grossly overestimates the amount of time spent on performing valuations during a M&A transaction. If automation were to occur, the individuals responsible for processing(analysts, and associates to a certain extent) might be at risk, but because VPs and above are responsible for origination and managing relationships, those are likely less prone.

 

This is actually becoming a thing. I know someone at GS/JPM/MS who did this exact job. They talked about using machine learning, etc to provide insights on attractive LBO/Hostile Takeover targets. Seems like part of a larger industry push towards providing data driven information to clients.

 

GS quants have done this sort of work before. But the ones in India also spend the majority of their time building outsourced valuation models for some teams. I don't think Lazard is doing the same (i.e. outsourcing modelling), but yeah, the position does seem a bit shady compared to big bonus IBD.

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