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Wall Street Oasis » Blogs » Midas Mulligan Magoo's blog

Is Student Loan Debt the Real Crisis in Waiting? Forum's RSS Feed Share

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Midas Mulligan Magoo's picture
Midas Mulligan Magoo
    
 
(Senior Neanderthal, 5,250
 
Points)
 on 10/19/11 at 1:55pm
a

Student loans are one of the few ties that bind Wall Street and Main Street. Regardless of our jobs and earnings levels we all feel the nuisance of that monthly check. Some are affected more than others, but nobody likes them and am sure would all prefer to see them shrink. This, however, simply is not happening.

As a matter of fact, student loan debt is creating a huge bubble. A bubble, many would argue, which has already arrived and is just waiting to burst. With jobs harder than ever for fresh fish grads to nab and with delusional guidance counselors nationwide pouring humanities is a great major piss in their ears, many student loan takers are screwed from day one. As you probably knew or by now can guess:

Outstanding student debt has climbed 25 percent since the start of the financial crisis in 2008, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York — an increase from $440 billion then to $550 billion now. By contrast, every other major category of consumer debt, including mortgage debt, credit card debt, auto loans and home equity loans, is lower today than it was in the fall of 2008.

Not only has student debt risen precipitously, but more and more of those loans aren’t getting paid off on time. In the second quarter of 2011, the rate of student loans that were more than 90 days past due rose from 10.6 percent to 11.2 percent, according to the New York Fed.

Looking at other major types of debt — again, including home loans, auto loans and mortgage and credit card debt — those delinquency rates either declined or stayed flat for the quarter. But delinquency rates for student loans rose and continue to rise.

The real question becomes, what can we do about it? My suggestion would probably never fly in a presidential debate, but I think it would work. I would massively butcher the student loan system and push for artisan apprenticeships. One thing we do not have a glut of is skilled manual labor, craftsmen and journeymen. I often bring up my mechanic who I would certify a National Treasure, if asked. The guy could make a roller skate run like a Rolls. On top of that he makes a steady six figure income and never saw the inside of a college classroom. He is a fine example of how much opportunity is out there for those who forego higher learning.

The funny thing is, young people who hear this sort of story tend to cringe. Somewhere along the line, prestige became more important than quality of life. It seems that a temp slave in Manhattan eating boiled hot dogs beats equities in Dallas any day of the week to many a misguided future or recent grad.

Curious what you guys think of this slow moving Titanic. Is there a way out of the quagmire? The calls for letting the real estate market bottom have been getting louder. Can we really take that approach with student loans? I can’t say that I see a brighter day, my metal shop approach

Where I unload on Twits and take verbal S***s
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Tags:
  • Student Loans
  • Bubbles
  • American Debt

Comments

TNA's picture

Student loans used to be

TNA
     O
 
 
(Human, 11,674
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 12:56pm

Student loans used to be dismissible through bankruptcy. Problem is people would jack up their debt, claim bankruptcy at 22 and be clean and good before 30. This had negative effects on lending (the kids have no income, no collateral and are so young that bankruptcy really can't hurt them). So it was made that student loans could not be discharged.

Now people are complaining.

I would allow more flexibility in the bankruptcy law for students. With that said, I would couple this with a cap and reduction in the maximum amount of student loans you can take. For an undergraduate degree I would limit federal loans to the cost of 4 years of tuition at a state university.

The government also offers programs where you do something that benefits society and after 7 years your loans are forgiven. A great way to get experience, give back and get rid of your loans. Might not be ideal, but it is a good option if you got a degree in something that is not in demand.

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Macro Arbitrage's picture

What's the optimal method to

Macro Arbitrage
     HF
 
(Senior Gorilla, 922
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 1:21pm

What's the optimal method to 'Paulson short' the market in the event that the student debt bubble pops? Never mind, there should be a Student Debt Double-Short ETF being formulated by iShares or ProShares as we speak.

"Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited."
-Soros

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Frieds's picture

Midas, Simply put yes. We

Frieds
     AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,127
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 1:25pm

Midas,

Simply put yes. We are watching a slow motion train wreck in progress. When you create an entire class of people who are subservient to the government,such that private companies profit off of the spread (because these loans are guaranteed by the government) and this debt cannot be discharged under bankruptcy, there is a huge problem. There will be hell to pay, as default will rise (and so too will the servitude of man), such that a crisis will be inevitable. The rising costs of secondary education go unchecked (Thanks Uncle Sam, for backstopping the debt with a federal guarantee so no one bothers realizing that the costs of education need to be realistic - and yes, even those Ivy League educations are extremely overpriced. there I said it!), which contributes to the rising necessity of student loans for those that can't afford to pay for school. It's not just about college from a cost point.

When you need a college degree to gain entry into an entry level job, you force people to go if they want any real career progression in a white collar world or they go the route of the manual labor. And even then, you need to get a college degree before you can even look at going to Law School and Medical School if you want to work in those fields. While I can't speak for medicine, in order to pass the Bar (the licensing exam for lawyers), it is essentially required for you to have attended a law school that is accredited by the ABA. There are a few states that allow non-ABA accredited students to take the bar. HOWEVER, only California, Virginia, Washington State and Vermont allow for people to sit for their respective Bar exams without having a formal legal education. What does it say when now everyone is required to spend 100K+, and continually rising, for three years of education to become a lawyer when what you learn in class has little to say about how practice actually is. So when you have 4 years of undergraduate loans and then another few years of post-graduate loans, it creates a system of indentured servitude you can't get out of.

When you add in the fact that we are in the midst of a recession, for which jobs for new graduates are not as readily available as they used to be, you create a very large group of people who owe money and can't pay it off without having a way out.

So, how do we get out of this? You allow the debt to be discharged via bankruptcy after 5 years from which payments start. You tie federal research funding grants for every school that wants them to the requirement for active means of the reducing costs of education. You abolish unpaid internships in order to stop the promotion of free labor and pay students for their time (in order to help reduce the cost of education or pay for living expenses, etc.). I'm sure there are other things we can do, but I'm blanking on them right now. Either way, the SS Titanic is here and on a collision course with an iceberg. It's not going to be pretty when the two collide.

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TNA's picture

Gotta love good intentions

TNA
     O
 
 
(Human, 11,674
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 1:37pm

Gotta love good intentions leading to misery and hell. Thanks Uncle Sam for getting into this business, which everyone now hates you for.

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Frieds's picture

Ant, the road to hell is paid

Frieds
     AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,127
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 1:46pm

Ant, the road to hell is paid out with good intentions man...

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duffmt6's picture

Self study? Why do programs

duffmt6
     IB
 
 
(King Kong, 1,429
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 1:53pm

Self study?

Why do programs like the CFA require an undergraduate degree? Doesn't that defeat the purpose a bit? If there were more bonafide self study programs/exams out there that could be used in lieu of an undergrad degree I think it could put some downward pressure on the cost of university tuition. The whole "requirements: undergraduate degree from a top university" has become so entrenched that these undergrad degrees take on almost infinite value- there are no viable, low cost alternatives.

"Social cohesion and puritanical morality place roughly on my list of concerns between whether I'll pick up jock itch at the gym this week (not likely, since I don't go the gym) and whether it'll rain in Christchurch, New Zealand next Tuesday."
-Eddie

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TNA's picture

The firms that require an UG

TNA
     O
 
 
(Human, 11,674
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 1:59pm

The firms that require an UG degree from a top university usually pay enough to justify $150K. Someone looking to teach 3rd grade in suburbia probably doesn't need to drop 40K in tuition a year for a private school.

And I believe you can do the first 2 levels of the CFA before graduating.

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Frieds's picture

Ant, just the first exam that

Frieds
     AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,127
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:02pm

Ant, just the first exam that can be done in college.

Duff, I would assume that has to do with the fact that you need relevant experience in order to get the charter and having an undergrad degree is required to get a job that affords relevant experience, ergo, the undergraduate degree is required.

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TNA's picture

Ahhh, thanks for the clarity.

TNA
     O
 
 
(Human, 11,674
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:05pm

Ahhh, thanks for the clarity.

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WalMartShopper's picture

Frieds wrote: Ant, the road

WalMartShopper
     IA
 
(Senior Orangutan, 465
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:06pm
Frieds:

Ant, the road to hell is paid out with good intentions man...

"Man is neither angel nor brute, and the unfortunate thing is that he who would act the angel acts the brute."

If the glove don't fit, you must acquit!

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FutureBanker09's picture

ANT wrote: The firms that

FutureBanker09
     AM
 
(Orangutan, 371
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:09pm
ANT:

The firms that require an UG degree from a top university usually pay enough to justify $150K. Someone looking to teach 3rd grade in suburbia probably doesn't need to drop 40K in tuition a year for a private school.

And I believe you can do the first 2 levels of the CFA before graduating.

Incorrect only the first level can be taken

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Cardinal's picture

Student loans are pushed like

Cardinal
    
 
(Orangutan, 320
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:14pm

Student loans are pushed like crack by everyone in the education system and it is made to seem like the loans are "no big deal". I know plenty of kids who used their student loans to subsidies the high flying party lifestyle and spring break trips in college. Some of these kids didn't even work while in college because they borrowed way over their head.

No one ever sits down and thinks about the cost and benefits of taking out a mortgage to attend college. Way too many people still have the idea that any ol degree from any college will land them a nice $60,000 a year(midwest $'s) job right out of school and those loans will be easy to pay back.

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Mr. Hansen's picture

Cardinal wrote: Student loans

Mr. Hansen
     PE
 
(Senior Orangutan, 483
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:21pm
Cardinal:

Student loans are pushed like crack by everyone in the education system and it is made to seem like the loans are "no big deal". I know plenty of kids who used their student loans to subsidies the high flying party lifestyle and spring break trips in college. Some of these kids didn't even work while in college because they borrowed way over their head.

No one ever sits down and thinks about the cost and benefits of taking out a mortgage to attend college. Way too many people still have the idea that any ol degree from any college will land them a nice $60,000 a year(midwest $'s) job right out of school and those loans will be easy to pay back.

Much cheaper ways to blow money for 4 years if all those people ever do is get crunk.

High schools need to drill into college-bound students' minds that they need to get internships to get a job, not just a degree.

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Frieds's picture

Mr. Hansen, Would you want

Frieds
     AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,127
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:22pm

Mr. Hansen, Would you want those internships to be paid or would an unpaid internship suffice?

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Nefarious-'s picture

The CFA also requires four

Nefarious-
     CF
 
(King Kong, 1,688
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:25pm

The CFA also requires four years of relevant work experience upon completion of the level 3 exam.

You're born, you take shit. You get out in the world, you take more shit. You climb a little higher, you take less shit. Till one day you're up in the rarefied atmosphere and you've forgotten what shit even looks like. Welcome to the layer cake, son.

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TNA's picture

The problem isn't with kids

TNA
     O
 
 
(Human, 11,674
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:26pm

The problem isn't with kids who learn a trade (business, engineering, science). It is with liberal arts kids. These degrees are wonderful, but the do not prepare you for a certain job. Learning how to think (as if all business and engineering students are robots) is intangible at best.

If you have to pay for school with loans, you are going to have to pick something you might not want to study. Sucks, but it is better than serving coffee somewhere with $150K in debt.

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Nefarious-'s picture

Not to mention, the total

Nefarious-
     CF
 
(King Kong, 1,688
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:26pm

Not to mention, the total cost for the entry fees and three tests is ~$4,000.00

You're born, you take shit. You get out in the world, you take more shit. You climb a little higher, you take less shit. Till one day you're up in the rarefied atmosphere and you've forgotten what shit even looks like. Welcome to the layer cake, son.

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duffmt6's picture

My point was not specifically

duffmt6
     IB
 
 
(King Kong, 1,429
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:28pm

My point was not specifically about the CFA- it was about the fact undergraduate degrees are a requirement for professional exams. Instead of offering an alternative entry into a certain industry, professional certifications and exams simply further entrench our dependence on a formal university education. Why can't a student, out of high school, teach themselves the ins and outs of a certain industry, take a comprehensive exam certifying they know what they are doing, and apply to jobs in that industry?

"Social cohesion and puritanical morality place roughly on my list of concerns between whether I'll pick up jock itch at the gym this week (not likely, since I don't go the gym) and whether it'll rain in Christchurch, New Zealand next Tuesday."
-Eddie

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Nefarious-'s picture

duffmt6 wrote: My point was

Nefarious-
     CF
 
(King Kong, 1,688
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:31pm
duffmt6:

My point was not specifically about the CFA- it was about the fact undergraduate degrees are a requirement for professional exams. Instead of offering an alternative entry into a certain industry, professional certifications and exams simply further entrench our dependence on a formal university education. Why can't a student, out of high school, teach themselves the ins and outs of a certain industry, take a comprehensive exam certifying they know what they are doing, and apply to jobs in that industry?

Is this a serious question? No one can profit from that which means it will never be an option.

You're born, you take shit. You get out in the world, you take more shit. You climb a little higher, you take less shit. Till one day you're up in the rarefied atmosphere and you've forgotten what shit even looks like. Welcome to the layer cake, son.

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Frieds's picture

Nefarious, that's how trade

Frieds
     AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,127
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:39pm

Nefarious, that's how trade skills truly work. I know a number of master carpenters and a couple of master electricians, and they learned through apprenticeship. It's exactly how they learned their ply and trade from day one until they became Journeymen in their respective fields. All basic vocational training does (at vocational schools) is give you the bare minimum skills to go on and become an apprentice.

As far as Duff's point, that used to be the case in a number of areas but people got wise and required degrees.

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Nefarious-'s picture

Frieds wrote: Nefarious,

Nefarious-
     CF
 
(King Kong, 1,688
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:42pm
Frieds:

Nefarious, that's how trade skills truly work. I know a number of master carpenters and a couple of master electricians, and they learned through apprenticeship. It's exactly how they learned their ply and trade from day one until they became Journeymen in their respective fields. All basic vocational training does (at vocational schools) is give you the bare minimum skills to go on and become an apprentice.

As far as Duff's point, that used to be the case in a number of areas but people got wise and required degrees.

I didn't relate the true trades to duff's question. I was thinking: what is stopping someone from studying something like finance on their own and fully mastering it to the point they don't need a degree or prior real world experience to land a job?

If, for example, that becomes an option in our society, does finance transition to a trade?

You're born, you take shit. You get out in the world, you take more shit. You climb a little higher, you take less shit. Till one day you're up in the rarefied atmosphere and you've forgotten what shit even looks like. Welcome to the layer cake, son.

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TNA's picture

Wasn't finance always a

TNA
     O
 
 
(Human, 11,674
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:43pm

Wasn't finance always a trade? I mean Fuld and Grasso both started from the ground up. My dad was a runner on the NYSE way back in the day. It used to be almost an apprenticeship. Now it has moved far away from this.

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Nefarious-'s picture

ANT wrote: Wasn't finance

Nefarious-
     CF
 
(King Kong, 1,688
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:45pm
ANT:

Wasn't finance always a trade? I mean Fuld and Grasso both started from the ground up. My dad was a runner on the NYSE way back in the day. It used to be almost an apprenticeship. Now it has moved far away from this.

I think we have to keep this conversation in terms of the present and future. If we start going back into the past it will get really hazy as college degrees weren't, essentially, a requirement.

You're born, you take shit. You get out in the world, you take more shit. You climb a little higher, you take less shit. Till one day you're up in the rarefied atmosphere and you've forgotten what shit even looks like. Welcome to the layer cake, son.

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Babyj18777's picture

ANT wrote: Student loans used

Babyj18777
     O
 
(Senior Baboon, 224
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:48pm
ANT:

Student loans used to be dismissible through bankruptcy. Problem is people would jack up their debt, claim bankruptcy at 22 and be clean and good before 30. This had negative effects on lending (the kids have no income, no collateral and are so young that bankruptcy really can't hurt them). So it was made that student loans could not be discharged.

Now people are complaining.

I would allow more flexibility in the bankruptcy law for students. With that said, I would couple this with a cap and reduction in the maximum amount of student loans you can take. For an undergraduate degree I would limit federal loans to the cost of 4 years of tuition at a state university.

The government also offers programs where you do something that benefits society and after 7 years your loans are forgiven. A great way to get experience, give back and get rid of your loans. Might not be ideal, but it is a good option if you got a degree in something that is not in demand.

Disagree. The government needs to get out of the student loan racket entirely; so long as it's involved, the price of higher education will be artificially inflated. Student loan debt should be dischargeable in bankruptcy like any other debt. The percentage of people who scammed the system by "strategically defaulting" was so small it was barely statistically significant.

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Nefarious-'s picture

Babyj18777 wrote: ANT

Nefarious-
     CF
 
(King Kong, 1,688
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 2:52pm
Babyj18777:
ANT:

Student loans used to be dismissible through bankruptcy. Problem is people would jack up their debt, claim bankruptcy at 22 and be clean and good before 30. This had negative effects on lending (the kids have no income, no collateral and are so young that bankruptcy really can't hurt them). So it was made that student loans could not be discharged.

Now people are complaining.

I would allow more flexibility in the bankruptcy law for students. With that said, I would couple this with a cap and reduction in the maximum amount of student loans you can take. For an undergraduate degree I would limit federal loans to the cost of 4 years of tuition at a state university.

The government also offers programs where you do something that benefits society and after 7 years your loans are forgiven. A great way to get experience, give back and get rid of your loans. Might not be ideal, but it is a good option if you got a degree in something that is not in demand.

Disagree. The government needs to get out of the student loan racket entirely; so long as it's involved, the price of higher education will be artificially inflated. Student loan debt should be dischargeable in bankruptcy like any other debt. The percentage of people who scammed the system by "strategically defaulting" was so small it was barely statistically significant.

I think Anthony is fairly pro Laissez-faire

You're born, you take shit. You get out in the world, you take more shit. You climb a little higher, you take less shit. Till one day you're up in the rarefied atmosphere and you've forgotten what shit even looks like. Welcome to the layer cake, son.

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TNA's picture

Agree. All I am saying is

TNA
     O
 
 
(Human, 11,674
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 3:00pm

Agree. All I am saying is that the government was criticized when only the rich could go to school, not it is criticized because poor people took out too much debt.

This is a perfect example of people getting what they want and then complaining about it. Government should just stick to a narrow range of duties and let people do the rest.

College has really gone from a place to get educated and learn to the "best 4 years of your life". Unfortunately, those 4 years go by fast and you will be paying for it for 10-15 years afterwards.

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TheKid1's picture

ANT wrote: The problem isn't

TheKid1
     IB
 
(Senior Gorilla, 762
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 3:36pm
ANT:

The problem isn't with kids who learn a trade (business, engineering, science). It is with liberal arts kids. These degrees are wonderful, but the do not prepare you for a certain job. Learning how to think (as if all business and engineering students are robots) is intangible at best.

If you have to pay for school with loans, you are going to have to pick something you might not want to study. Sucks, but it is better than serving coffee somewhere with $150K in debt.

I disagree, going to a ivy league and majoring in arts, history, you can get a job in finance like many do. My cousins girl majored in art history went to a target and has nice paying job on W.S. While me being a finance major going to a non-target I've only seen two banks recruit both for B.O and one for HR. There needs to be a change in way recruitment works. If majoring in finance at a non-target can't get you a job. I say recruitment needs to change.

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TheKid1's picture

Also you can still get your

TheKid1
     IB
 
(Senior Gorilla, 762
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 3:37pm

Also you can still get your student loans expunged in bankruptcy. Just extremely difficult, you better never be able to work a day in your life.

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UFOinsider's picture

It's probably simpler than

UFOinsider
     O
 
(Almost Human, 8,169
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 3:41pm

It's probably simpler than all this: the next generation of students need degrees that prepare them for the workforce. The contradiction is that while we have this huge education bubble, there's a severe shortage of engineers, programmers, accountants, doctors, and other professionals. Read about 18th Century Frenc Lit or MARX on your own time or do a double major, but get something that opens up actual employment....unless you come from money, and then do whatever the hell you want.

I got a psych degree and while I DO have a few tricks up my sleeve from studying the mind, I'll be focusing on a straight laced business / finance degree for grad school. I can read up on ancient religions and politics on my own time.

http://www.motifake.com/image/demotivational-poster/small/0904/chill-out...

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down on the upside's picture

scrap government loan

down on the upside
     CF
 
(Baboon, 129
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 3:50pm

scrap government loan programs, deny guarantors and increase age of maturity to 22, so that students with no concept of credit/finances can live in the real world for a few years, understand how difficult it is and why signing up for every credit card/line of credit card before turning 20 is a surefire way to freezing your butt off in the cold Atlantic. The basic problem deals is sticker price, universities can charge a higher sticker price because customers don't have to face it immediately and thus place a higher preference on prestige versus cost/benefit.

Students (myself included) can benefit from having to live in the real world for the first few years. Having worked full-time since 16 taught me (A) how difficult it is to make money and (B) there bastards everywhere trying to take my money so I have to be careful. Most people lack common sense because they have never had to live a common life, everything was provided from birth till high school, of course the natural progression would be to assume everything would be provided for me in university and my career.

elimintate communism in the state or iceberg right ahead, no amount of hard to starboard can avoid it.

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whatwhatwhat's picture

Requiring a degree for

whatwhatwhat
     HF
 
(King Kong, 1,117
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 3:53pm

Requiring a degree for employment is not going to go away. It's far too late to wind back the clock on that one. With 10+% unemployment out there, why would you hire someone without a degree when you can get someone with a degree and likely internship experience gained while going to school? Even if something like the CFA or CPA exams could be taken without a degree, there is no fucking way you would get a job versus someone with a degree.

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Nefarious-'s picture

whatwhatwhat wrote: Requiring

Nefarious-
     CF
 
(King Kong, 1,688
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 4:02pm
whatwhatwhat:

Requiring a degree for employment is not going to go away. It's far too late to wind back the clock on that one. With 10+% unemployment out there, why would you hire someone without a degree when you can get someone with a degree and likely internship experience gained while going to school? Even if something like the CFA or CPA exams could be taken without a degree, there is no fucking way you would get a job versus someone with a degree.

I would hire someone that passed the CFA exams with no degree (if it was possible) over someone with only a BA/BS any day.

You're born, you take shit. You get out in the world, you take more shit. You climb a little higher, you take less shit. Till one day you're up in the rarefied atmosphere and you've forgotten what shit even looks like. Welcome to the layer cake, son.

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Deception's picture

I am currently an a senior

Deception
     O
 
(Chimp, 10
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 4:05pm

I am currently an a senior undergraduate at an overpriced institution (Pace University), although I am a transfer student and am only in my 3rd semester here, I will still graduate with about a 50K loan. Personally, I think academic institutions do not serve much benefit. I am paying an inflated tuition for all theoretical knowledge, nothing with much practical use. The sad part is that a degree is required to get your foot in the door, so students like me are forced to incur the debt if we desire a respectable profession. Now I wouldn't mind paying the tuition if I felt like I was getting what I was paying for. Take Pace University for example, we are located minutes away from the Federal Reserve Bank of NY and Wall Street. If the university organized tours of the Fed and used the tuition money to get the students involved in a practical manner, the money would be worth it and we won't just be paying for a piece of paper. I feel like academic institutions have really dropped their standards and the college classroom does not feel much different than a high school classroom yet it is necessary for us to attend (and pay). Just my 2 cents...

OK

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whatwhatwhat's picture

Nefarious-

whatwhatwhat
     HF
 
(King Kong, 1,117
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 4:14pm
Nefarious-:
whatwhatwhat:

Requiring a degree for employment is not going to go away. It's far too late to wind back the clock on that one. With 10+% unemployment out there, why would you hire someone without a degree when you can get someone with a degree and likely internship experience gained while going to school? Even if something like the CFA or CPA exams could be taken without a degree, there is no fucking way you would get a job versus someone with a degree.

I would hire someone that passed the CFA exams with no degree (if it was possible) over someone with only a BA/BS any day.

I'm sure that a lot of people would say the same but when the undergrad barrier is removed, you're not going to have applicants with only a BA/BS applying. You're going to have someone that has passed the exams, a degree, and relevant internships. Since our wonderful government has decided that people should not be able to offer themselves up as a free labor unless they're in college, the mythical CFA-only candidate is even more far behind.

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duffmt6's picture

whatwhatwhat

duffmt6
     IB
 
 
(King Kong, 1,429
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 4:33pm
whatwhatwhat:
Nefarious-:
whatwhatwhat:

Requiring a degree for employment is not going to go away. It's far too late to wind back the clock on that one. With 10+% unemployment out there, why would you hire someone without a degree when you can get someone with a degree and likely internship experience gained while going to school? Even if something like the CFA or CPA exams could be taken without a degree, there is no fucking way you would get a job versus someone with a degree.

I would hire someone that passed the CFA exams with no degree (if it was possible) over someone with only a BA/BS any day.

I'm sure that a lot of people would say the same but when the undergrad barrier is removed, you're not going to have applicants with only a BA/BS applying. You're going to have someone that has passed the exams, a degree, and relevant internships. Since our wonderful government has decided that people should not be able to offer themselves up as a free labor unless they're in college, the mythical CFA-only candidate is even more far behind.

You are just adding in other non relevant factors. What if internships were available to Lvl 1 and Lvl2 candidates, for instance? My whole point is that self study is probably more effective than university education, and infinitely cheaper. We aren't talking about practicality...

I learned infinitely more about finance studying the first two levels of the CFA than I did while in undergrad.

"Social cohesion and puritanical morality place roughly on my list of concerns between whether I'll pick up jock itch at the gym this week (not likely, since I don't go the gym) and whether it'll rain in Christchurch, New Zealand next Tuesday."
-Eddie

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whatwhatwhat's picture

No argument here on that.

whatwhatwhat
     HF
 
(King Kong, 1,117
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 4:43pm

No argument here on that.

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go.with.the.flow's picture

The real question is, how can

go.with.the.flow
     EN
 
(King Kong, 1,120
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 5:40pm

The real question is, how can WE make $$$ of it o_0

|| Everything to Gain - Nothing to Lose ||

But feeling good and enjoying life are prerequisites to success, not by products of it - Midas Mulligan Magoo

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shorttheworld's picture

people studying art history

shorttheworld
     ST
 
 
(Neanderthal, 3,897
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 5:43pm

people studying art history and the like at the target schools arent getting the 'oh come on in' attitude that they used to in terms of WS recruiting. i personally think that unless an institution is above and beyond (johns hopkins, emory, etc) in terms of a private institution there is no reason to attend. being in the northeast you have good state schools -- UConn, Rutgers, Penn State -- that will serve a very good need for most students. there are a ton of schools that are NOT worth their salt or cash (private) but also you have to realize in other parts of the country state schools are pretty crap. illinois, georgia (ga tech -- im assuming theyre public haha so i hope they are), texas, california, michigan... even ohio state is a pretty good school.

but yes people should pick useful majors -- there needs to be a higher focus on community colleges and trade schools. id rather pay for my child to go through tech schools and become a contractor and give my son money to start a biz up than a 50k a year (or however much it will be by then) fpr a private art history degree

One particle of unobtanium has a nuclear reaction with the flux capacitor, carry the two, changing its atomic isotope into a radioactive spider.... Fuck you science!

Don't ever let the place you start dictate where you finish

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UFOinsider's picture

go.with.the.flow wrote: The

UFOinsider
     O
 
(Almost Human, 8,169
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 5:56pm
go.with.the.flow:

The real question is, how can WE make $$$ of it o_0

+1

http://www.motifake.com/image/demotivational-poster/small/0904/chill-out...

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West Coast rainmaker's picture

The student loan situation is

West Coast rainmaker
    
 
 
(Senior Gorilla, 921
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 6:08pm

The student loan situation is depressing at best.

As long as we keep subsidizing it, higher education is going remain something of an arms race. The fact that we have jobs that require "a BA/BS" speaks to how meaningless the degrees have become. If your employer is willing to consider everybody from the BA in Dance to the BSE in CompEng, then the job probably doesn't need a degree at all.

I have no doubt that my kids will be required to get a master's degree. There are so many applicants for top jobs, employers can afford to use education as just another screening tool.

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Macro Arbitrage's picture

West Coast rainmaker wrote: I

Macro Arbitrage
     HF
 
(Senior Gorilla, 922
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 7:01pm
West Coast rainmaker:

I have no doubt that my kids will be required to get a master's degree. There are so many applicants for top jobs, employers can afford to use education as just another screening tool.

I'd like to think that employers will inevitably eventually realize how useless these degrees really are and hence relevant experience would trump that additional masters degree for non-technical jobs.

"Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend, and step off before it is discredited."
-Soros

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Frabjous's picture

UFOinsider

Frabjous
     CO
 
(Senior Baboon, 223
 
Points)
  on 10/19/11 at 7:16pm
UFOinsider:
go.with.the.flow:

The real question is, how can WE make $$$ of it o_0

+1

Well, first thing to look at is to see whether there are any company with huge exposure to student loans and examine the opportunity to short them. For example Discover, which recently bought out Citi's student loan portfolio/

If the % of these companies exposure to student loans is not huge enough to imply massive losses in a scenario of increasing defaults, then we'll have to get more creative.

Perhaps call one of the banks, tell them we are Cornwall Capital and ask them to build some synthetic product :D

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levelworm's picture

The problem is that we really

levelworm
     O
 
(Orangutan, 282
 
Points)
  on 10/20/11 at 1:42am

The problem is that we really do not need a huge workforce and that's part of the reason that barriers are set up around jobs (degrees, exams, etc. e.g. I'm preparing for the actuarial exam but WTF does it really help cone my skills if I have taken the courses? I doubt). Also, apprenticeship may now be as good as it sounds, considering we actually always have apprenticeship on every job nowadays (but we add more barriers so that not many people can use that apprenticeship).

This is a highly automated world (not automated enough if we consider the jobs that actually can be done by robots), and less and less people are able to find a job. That's why we have computer games, TV shows, etc. to keep them at bay.

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levelworm's picture

Macro Arbitrage wrote: West

levelworm
     O
 
(Orangutan, 282
 
Points)
  on 10/20/11 at 1:44am
Macro Arbitrage:
West Coast rainmaker:

I have no doubt that my kids will be required to get a master's degree. There are so many applicants for top jobs, employers can afford to use education as just another screening tool.

I'd like to think that employers will inevitably eventually realize how useless these degrees really are and hence relevant experience would trump that additional masters degree for non-technical jobs.

It is indeed useless and I believe most companies actually know that (unless, of course, that you come from some of the best universities so that you have connections that they may use). The problem is the workforce is so huge today and you need someway to pick. Well, degree happens to be one of the forks, as well as stupid require-you-memorize-everthing exams.

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RE Capital Markets's picture

ANT wrote: For an

RE Capital Markets
     O
 
 
(Senior Orangutan, 430
 
Points)
  on 10/20/11 at 3:47pm
ANT:

For an undergraduate degree I would limit federal loans to the cost of 4 years of tuition at a state university.

The current cap on federal stafford loans for dependant students is as follows:

-$5,500 (for the 2010-11 academic year) if you're a first-year student enrolled in a program of study that is at least a full academic year. No more than $3,500 of this amount may be in subsidized loans.
-$6,500 (for the 2010-11 academic year) if you've completed your first year of study and the remainder of your program is at least a full academic year. No more than $4,500 of this amount may be in subsidized loans.
-$7,500 if you've completed at least two years of study and the remainder of your program is at least a full academic year. No more than $5,500 of this amount may be in subsidized loans.

The current cap on federal stafford loans for independant students is as follows:

-$9,500 (for the 2010-11 academic year) if you're a first-year student enrolled in a program of study that is at least a full academic year. No more than $3,500 of this amount may be in subsidized loans.
-$10,500 (for the 2010-11 academic year) if you've completed your first year of study and the remainder of your program is at least a full academic year. No more than $4,500 of this amount may be in subsidized loans.
-$12,500 (for the 2010-11 academic year) if you've completed two years of study and the remainder of your program is at least a full academic year. No more than $5,500 of this amount may be in subsidized loans.

While cost of attendance at UTexas, a relatively cheap state university, is $24,000-25,000/Yr. So you are saying we should increase the cap on how much the federal government lends?

Private sector lenders, not the federal government, make up the lion's share of outstanding student loan debt, especially for private schools.

Consider the following:

USC has ~30,000 students total
NYU, the largest private shcool in the US, has ~50,000 students total
Harvard has ~20,000 students total
At an estimated cost of attendance of $50,000 total, that translates into $5B/Yr. You could generously assume that about 1/2 of that is funded w/o borrowing, yet the numbers are still astonishingly high for just 3 private universities. I think there are about +300 public and private colleges/universities in the US.

Regulators dont seem to be on top of this. This is subprime 2.0, without doubt. I am really sad to see this is actually happening post 2008. Really sad.

Man made money, money never made the man

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RE Capital Markets's picture

Blam-o http://www.zerohedge.c

RE Capital Markets
     O
 
 
(Senior Orangutan, 430
 
Points)
  on 10/21/11 at 3:21am

Blam-o

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/student-loan-bubble-exceed-1-trillion-its-...

Double blam-o

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/fraud-heart-student-lending-exposed-one-se...

Man made money, money never made the man

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jon1987's picture

I will graduate with a

jon1987
     O
 
(Baboon, 171
 
Points)
  on 10/21/11 at 2:14pm

I will graduate with a history/econ major from a state non-target and have around 25k-27k in total debt. I really am getting freaked out on how I will pay it back, especially without an internship yet. I guess that's why my grad school plans will be something more practical like an accounting masters.

Still, with grad school added in, I would have around 80k in total debt (depending on what school, I want UT-Austin for Houston energy/oil/gas markets). IDK how comfortable I'd be paying that back on a Big 4 salary, though.

"There are only two opinions in this world: Mine and the wrong one." -Jeremy Clarkson

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za3212's picture

there's no way this could

za3212
    
 
(Baboon, 132
 
Points)
  on 10/25/11 at 12:57pm

there's no way this could rival the housing crisis

mortgage debt is 70% of household debt
student loans are less than 10%

(anyone remember the "hundreds of billions" of dollars of munipal defaults that were supposed to end the world in Q2/Q3 2011)

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Frieds's picture

Za, you're looking at it from

Frieds
     AM
 
 
(Neanderthal, 2,127
 
Points)
  on 10/21/11 at 5:02pm

Za, you're looking at it from a skewed, incorrect perspective. Mortgage debt can be discharged. Mortgage debt that led to the subprime crisis was given to people who could not afford them, such skewing the numbers to the point where, partially, you have a base that couldn't afford it given household debt (ie what is a person making 40K a year doing with a 200K 3-1 Option ARM mortgage). Mortgage debt is still a resolvable situation.

With student debt, you have a non-dischargable loan and a decreasing job market. If you can't pay off your loan and you can't get it discharged in bankruptcy, you have a problem. You create a class of slaves that will be in servitude for a very long time. When you take decrease the number of jobs available to new grads and post-grads, you increase their chances to default on their debt essentially forcing servitude on them. Consider that...

As to the muni debt, oh that's always a question of who will do what and how bad it happens.

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RE Capital Markets's picture

A home loan is secured by

RE Capital Markets
     O
 
 
(Senior Orangutan, 430
 
Points)
  on 10/21/11 at 5:59pm

A home loan is secured by collateral: a house. Student loan debt is unsecured. Triple blam-o.

Man made money, money never made the man

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