21 Comments
 

More of a theory than anything. First time the sector has been outperforming in a while, and we've seen a big rotation recently. Generalists tend not to focus on fins a lot but will need to if financial services companies outperform their benchmark. That means a lot of shops are underallcoated to fins analysts. 

I'd note that I wouldn't include payments/fintech in that theory. 

 
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I trade financials across the cap stack and think it is certainly a very interesting time to play the sector, especially balance sheet fins. We are on the cusp of an inflection point in multiple key economic indicators (beginning (?) of a cut cycle, hard/soft/no landing, etc.) Fins are also highly tied to CRE, which is also facing a historic turning point itself. Market expectation on all these variables are all over the place in the next 6-12 months. Plenty of alpha generation opportunities when the key drivers (rate, credit availability) are moving so volatile last few years

 

That sounds fascinating. On insurance (thinking of life here), there's definitely some interesting momentum with pension scheme buyouts (looking at UK, Netherlands), but curious what you're seeing on banking if anything? Noted the CRE point

Also, if you don't mind me asking - what funds to cross-cap stack financials? I'd expect MMs to do equities solely so this sounds more like a highly specialized SM? Might be looking to go into the space so would be keen to pick your brain.

 

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