Weekly Economic Roundup: U.S. Tariff Policies, Global PMI Data, and Safe-Haven Asset Rally!

Global markets experienced significant turbulence from March 31 to April 4, 2025, driven by escalating U.S. trade tariffs, mixed economic data, and geopolitical risks. The week began with sharp declines as the U.S. announced new tariffs on China, India, and the EU, triggering a global selloff. Japan’s Nikkei fell 3.6%, China’s Shanghai Composite dropped 2.9%, and Europe’s STOXX 600 slumped. Safe-haven assets surged, with gold hitting a record $2,150/oz and Treasury yields falling.

Midweek saw a partial recovery as investors hoped for tariff exemptions, with the Nasdaq rising 0.87% on tech strength. However, Germany’s weak manufacturing PMI (48.7) and slowing inflation (2.2%) raised Eurozone growth concerns. Oil prices fluctuated, with Brent crude climbing to $84/barrel on supply fears, while industrial metals like copper declined.

Thursday brought renewed chaos as the U.S. confirmed steep tariffs (34% on China, 26% on India). Global equities plunged, with China’s markets down 3% and Germany’s DAX falling 2%. Gold soared to $2,160/oz, and emerging-market currencies like India’s rupee weakened (₹83/USD).

Friday ended with cautious optimism ahead of U.S. jobs data. The S&P 500 rose 0.3%, and Europe’s STOXX 600 gained 0.5%, but trade tensions lingered. Next week, markets will focus on U.S. inflation, Fed minutes, and China’s economic data for further direction.

Key Takeaways:

• Trade Wars: U.S. tariffs sparked global selloffs, with China and India hit hardest.
• Safe Havens: Gold and Treasuries rallied as risk appetite waned.
• Oil Volatility: Brent crude surged to $84 on supply risks.
• Economic Worries: Weak Eurozone data and recession fears (Goldman Sachs raised U.S. recession odds to 35%) weighed on sentiment.
• Next Week’s Focus: U.S. jobs report, inflation data, and central bank policies will dictate market moves.

The week underscored fragile investor confidence amid trade disruptions and slowing growth, with volatility likely to persist.