19 Comments
 

Maybe they could just stop drastically underpricing IPOs

 

That's part of the argument for a DL, it's basically an auction so there's much less prediction is involved. We all know a company's "fundamental value" is a nebulous concept, so letting people pay exactly how much they want for a stock for as much as they want is way better than piecing out an IPO to bank clients at poorly chosen prices and at much lower share counts than the longer-term holders would like. The VCs are obnoxious but I do think they're right about this one.

 

Well I don't think anyone would've priced DoorDash and AirBnb at the prices they opened at, they just aren't worth their valuations. Almost impossible to predict.

You're telling me every red neck in a trailer understands the covid premium when selling a used washer but the "best and brightest" in banking don't?

If the glove don't fit, you must acquit!
 
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Maybe they could just stop drastically underpricing IPOs

it's not a simplistic question of underpricing. the primary investors are largely long- term buy and hold oriented asset managers; they won't invest at crazy valuations but if the broad market is offering them a 50% bump, they're going to sell some.  no sane company wants their primary investors to be a consortium of Robin hood day traders. 

 

It is tough, banks want to slightly underprice an IPO so there is a bump from offering to opening along with solid 1 day, 1 week performance to keep ipo investors happy, but some of these tech IPOs, Snowflake, DoorDash, Airbnb, etc., have been brutal. Insiders and early stage investors have to be skeptical of banks pricing their IPOs when you see the stock move up 100% from offer to opening, that is essentially money taken out of their pockets.

 

This is more of a hit to institutional investors than banks. Banks still advise and collect fees on direct listings (albeit less fee pot in total to reward a large number of banks). It's good for financial markets to have traditional IPOs and direct listings, but there are reasons IPOs are structured the way they are. In a direct listing, you won't have the same price stabilization offered by an IPO, and you won't be able to build out a book of long term investors. IPOs are risky and direct listings are even more so. Pros and cons to be weighed, likely at the expense of hiring an investment bank. 

 

I view this as a good thing, more competition will cause those that add no value to exit/flounder and existing players to up their game as this somewhat decentralizes/disintermediates the process. much like investors deserve choice rather than having to use expensive brokerage houses as gatekeepers, companies seeking capital should have more options as well

 

If you want a fancy deck done, hire two consultants. If you want good advertising, hire an advertising firm. If you want to have your ass covered, hire a lawyer. Zero reason that ecm bankers get hired other than connections, and if you’re a high profile ipo, chances are in this market, you could get 3x subscribed with a business plan to light money on fire and sell the smoke (better plan than snowflake at least)

 

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