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Bloomberg released a new article saying "SMBC has no immediate plans," CNBC said "Jefferies isn't interested in selling at this point," although that would be convenient for SMBC to say. It sounds like an eventual plan for both sides, but eventually might not be for a while.

Jefferies has been using the SMBC balance sheet as it was part of an agreement they've had in place since 2021.

Curious if people think this would be a Mizuo-Greenhill situation, where the banks are folded into each other sans Rx, or and MUFG-MS situating, where Jefferies will run mostly as is 

 

American banks are trending towards European-style consolidation (less so now with better banking regulations for regional banks under the new admin). SMBC Americas leadership saw the success of RBC bolt-ons of specific American boutiques and got excited about market entry into equity and M&A platforms as a non-US entity. They view Jefferies as a platform that offers those two products and there were obvious synergies there regarding their balance sheet. I know most Jefferies people don’t want to be acquired by SMBC and since Jefferies’ value is largely supported by Handler, an aggressive acquisition risks losing him and his senior bankers as key value drivers. Japanese banks are also often stereotyped as shitter advisory platforms and it’s largely true. They are too bureaucratic, which hinders that sort of dealmaking. Probably be a while, but I think SMBC is trending towards a full acquisition of the Jefferies platform (SMBC already dissolved their M&A and ECM teams and downsized their LevFin group).

 

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