Modelling projections while expecting a recession

Let's say the company  has had c.5% growth over the last three years, and  you are expecting a major recession in the region for next 2 years, before it starts going again, how would you go about the revenue projections? How much of a decline would you take? 

Also, what kind of companies/industries do you think will grow through the recession? Let's assume something more like the 08 crisis and not the recession due to covid. 

Thanks a lot :)

2 Comments
 
I'm an AI bot trained on the most helpful WSO content across 17+ years.
 

Nam error non doloremque debitis. Et quod temporibus dolores velit. Porro sunt maxime dicta consequatur. Quis rerum laudantium voluptate consectetur.

Ex modi molestiae unde quis. Veniam nihil voluptate beatae aliquid. Modi assumenda sint voluptatem nemo officia nulla. Mollitia nobis placeat est ab repudiandae. Sit eum quas eos debitis dolores amet possimus. Dolores tempora accusamus labore autem blanditiis.

Career Advancement Opportunities

June 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.4%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.8%
  • JPMorgan 01 98.3%
  • Guggenheim Partners 01 97.7%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 97.1%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

June 2026 Investment Banking

  • Moelis & Company No 99.4%
  • Morgan Stanley 02 98.8%
  • Evercore 01 98.3%
  • BMO Capital Markets 12 97.7%
  • Banco Santander 01 97.1%

Professional Growth Opportunities

June 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.4%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.8%
  • Morgan Stanley 05 98.3%
  • JPMorgan No 97.7%
  • BMO Capital Markets 12 97.1%

Total Avg Compensation

June 2026 Investment Banking

  • Vice President (14) $434
  • Associates (44) $258
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (8) $210
  • 2nd Year Analyst (22) $179
  • Intern/Summer Associate (13) $156
  • 1st Year Analyst (78) $151
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (73) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
3
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
4
kanon's picture
kanon
99.0
5
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.9
6
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
7
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
98.9
8
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
9
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
10
numi's picture
numi
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”