Rise of the Europeans?

Wow talk about a changing landscape....

So assuming that ML and LEH go out tonight, the landscape will be:

Independents: Goldman Morgan

Universals: JPMorgan Citi BofA

Europeans: UBS Deutsche Credit Suisse

Boutiques: Evercore Greenhill Moelis Perella

Who do you think the major M&A players will be? Can Goldman and Morgan stand the assault of the universals? Will the Europeans become the new lenders? Where will boutiques place in all of this?

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Best Response

UBS has been slammed too hard from the credit crunch to the point where its investment bank will not challenge Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley in M&A. Goldman's capital markets have traditionally been the strongest and somehow Goldman's huge appetite for risk has not hurt them nearly as much as everyone else.

Credit Suisse could become a lot stronger given the fact that UBS (it's Swiss rival) has been hurt so bad. Credit Suisse might be a bit too conservative though overall, but they have been using a more aggressive approach recently.

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