When's The Fed Cutting?
Straw poll. What are your thoughts?
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September. 2024 is over, 2025 starts now
Agreed. Market has it all wrong.
Summer. Fed are all democrats and will cut before election
Powell is a Republican and was appointed by Trump lol
Powell was re-elected by Biden and Trump said he would fire him. Either way Fed is based in DC which is 95% democrat
This is really nice.
Once this year by a quarter bp, then next year more from public pressure
Jerome Powell is the virgin man's Jamie Dimon. He's great though haha
Small cuts in Q4, maybe late Q3. Then larger cuts in 2025
I personally want them to induce a blatant recession so we can stop edging investors with pending rate cuts. Private sector (especially financial services) has been decimated for the last year and a half because the Fed and our lawmakers decided to mask unemployment and GDP numbers with misleading forward guidance and unnecessary govt expenditures. “Oh unemployment rate is low” where a majority of job gains are from the public sector and part-time employment. Actually ridiculous. Yield curve inversions and negative money supply growth don’t lie even if we don’t want to believe them.
These are my thoughts exactly
I mean edging is goated.
Most of the "job growth" is from government sector jobs and healthcare jobs, to boot. Hard to reduce inflation when the only jobs you're adding are basically government circle-money ponzi schemes.
No need for cuts this year IMO
I don’t even think they should cut this year. If they do cut, it’ll be because of external pressure. The Fed still hasn’t accomplished their goal on inflation so I don’t see a valid basis for cutting. I also think part of the reason why markets and asset valuations are still irrational in many areas is because the Fed has led investors to believe that rate cuts are bound to happen this year, which I think is inappropriate.
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