Interview Question/Case

Hi guys, I have interviewed with some pe/vc shops in the past and have been given the following technical assignments. Time allotted: 30mins. Suppose you are given recent financials of a particular public or private company and some press releases regarding current news. You are then asked to create an investment thesis based on these certain items. My experience in principal investing is limited and I have only covered healthcare companies in the past. What would be some metrics/calculations/considerations that would be important? And how would you go about in formulating a thesis? Thanks for your help

 
MezzKet:
Debt to equity? where do you guys get this shit, if you don't know, shut-up...

he said pe/vc, so therefore if you knew anything, your debt to equity suggestions are complete and utter garbage...

PE...LBO....having a low level of debt is a beneficial characteristic in a target...D/E....

 

A lot of press releases are fluffy bullshit. They will probably give you some of these to see if you waste your time. When you filter through and find the ones that actually matter, don't just analyze the content. The likely reaction from the market is also critical, so don't forget to consider that in your analysis.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I tend to think of myself as a one-man wolfpack Buyside strongside
 

Yea I agree but your ratio is way off... +1 for your understanding of an LBO, -1000 for your shit understanding of LBO metrics...

To answer the authors post in analyzing LBOs: Thesis: - Understandable business model that is not burdened with complexities (more complexities make for errors is risk assesment, crucial to seeing the failed LBOs of the past and recent); - Revenue visibility, preferrably through recurring revenues as opposed to short-term project based; - Low capex with an improvable W.Cap - Good Margins (which ones?); preferably high EBITDA margins of 10+% that drive a health FCF; - Variable cost structure able to collapse with a downturn; ---Little raw material exposure that may balloon, like oil, killing cash flow and margins; - Beneficial tax structure from the LBO (some NOLs always great); - Fragmented industry segment that allows for build-ups and consolidation; - Management team that has proven consistant growth in past experiences, with company or externally; - Low regulatory risks and pressure to pricing (usually when there are only a few big players than can sway the market); - Comfortable customer concentration (not too low, not too high)

Ratios: - Senior Debt / EBITDA - Total Debt / EBITDA - Net Debt / EBITDA - Net Debt / EBITDA - Capex - EBITDA / Interest - EBITDA - Capex / Interest - Fixed Cover Charge Ratio - EBITDA - Capex +/- working cap / EBITDA (cash flow conversion ratio)

At closing ratios: % of Debt/Total capitalization % of Equity / Total capitalization X of Debt / EBITDA X Equity / EBITDA EV / EBITDA

should I keep goin with why your Debt / Equity ratio in a target is garbage and of no real value to the analysis or would you like to teach me about leveraged buyouts as well?

 
MezzKet:
Yea I agree but your ratio is way off... +1 for your understanding of an LBO, -1000 for your shit understanding of LBO metrics...

To answer the authors post in analyzing LBOs: Thesis: - Understandable business model that is not burdened with complexities (more complexities make for errors is risk assesment, crucial to seeing the failed LBOs of the past and recent); - Revenue visibility, preferrably through recurring revenues as opposed to short-term project based; - Low capex with an improvable W.Cap - Good Margins (which ones?); preferably high EBITDA margins of 10+% that drive a health FCF; - Variable cost structure able to collapse with a downturn; ---Little raw material exposure that may balloon, like oil, killing cash flow and margins; - Beneficial tax structure from the LBO (some NOLs always great); - Fragmented industry segment that allows for build-ups and consolidation; - Management team that has proven consistant growth in past experiences, with company or externally; - Low regulatory risks and pressure to pricing (usually when there are only a few big players than can sway the market); - Comfortable customer concentration (not too low, not too high)

Ratios: - Senior Debt / EBITDA - Total Debt / EBITDA - Net Debt / EBITDA - Net Debt / EBITDA - Capex - EBITDA / Interest - EBITDA - Capex / Interest - Fixed Cover Charge Ratio - EBITDA - Capex +/- working cap / EBITDA (cash flow conversion ratio)

At closing ratios: % of Debt/Total capitalization % of Equity / Total capitalization X of Debt / EBITDA X Equity / EBITDA EV / EBITDA

should I keep goin with why your Debt / Equity ratio in a target is garbage and of no real value to the analysis or would you like to teach me about leveraged buyouts as well?

Listen, jackass, I was giving the poster a direction to go into. I was not claiming to be the authority on leveraged buyouts. Jesus fucking christ, chill the fuck out.

 
Best Response

Agree with your qualitative assessment of LBO candidates, but I totally disagree with the ratios you identified as being important. Historical cap structure is totally irrelevant because we are recapping the company as part of the acquisition. What am I going to conclude about a company based on its current fixed charge ratio? Fixed charge is only important in the context of your debt covenants (which are going to be outside the scope of a 30 minute quick assessment). You would probably only look at Net Debt / EBITDA (which informs whether or not the company is under- or over-levered).

If I were to assess a business based on its financial ratios, I would look at historical trends in the following metrics: high RONA (EBITDA - Capex) / (Net PPE + WC), moderate EBITDA Margin, high sustained revenue and EBITDA growth, low NWC (% of Revenue), and low Capex (% of EBITDA). I would also look at valuation multiples (i.e. TEV / EBITDA and TEV / (EBITDA - Capex) to get a sense for where the company is trading (informs exit multiple if you don't have other info).

 
jmcfadden:
Agree with your qualitative assessment of LBO candidates, but I totally disagree with the ratios you identified as being important. Historical cap structure is totally irrelevant because we are recapping the company as part of the acquisition. What am I going to conclude about a company based on its current fixed charge ratio? Fixed charge is only important in the context of your debt covenants (which are going to be outside the scope of a 30 minute quick assessment). You would probably only look at Net Debt / EBITDA (which informs whether or not the company is under- or over-levered).

If I were to assess a business based on its financial ratios, I would look at historical trends in the following metrics: high RONA (EBITDA - Capex) / (Net PPE + WC), moderate EBITDA Margin, high sustained revenue and EBITDA growth, low NWC (% of Revenue), and low Capex (% of EBITDA). I would also look at valuation multiples (i.e. TEV / EBITDA and TEV / (EBITDA - Capex) to get a sense for where the company is trading (informs exit multiple if you don't have other info).

my ratios are all post close, I could care less about what they looked like pre-transaction, in total agreement to you, only thing affecting my pre-transaction analysis is investment these and P&L (down to EBIT)...

 

Aww, now that I pointed out you know jack shit you're defending your toilet paper comment, the one the poster could wipe his ass with vuz of its uselessness?

Unless you can give the poster valuable and accurate comments, keep ur wanna be financier mouth quiet... The problem with this board is people with no real experience make recommendations and suggestions that some people actually use, and if he were to say Debt/Equity of a target in a PE interview, he's look as much of a jackass as you...

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