Gut checks
How do you guys check your increase or decrease in IRR/NPV/whatever when changing multiple leasing assumptions (market rent, RCD, market rent growth) for multiple tenants in argus?
If I have enough time, I try to see where the change comes (cash flow or reversion) and what the change is...and then try to use my new assumptions to backsolve for that number to make sure they match or are at least close. It works, but it is inefficient sometimes. I think I'm approaching it the wrong way. How do you guys usually gut check your IRR changes?
Not sure if I get what the solution should be, but I would just start picking variables and work through a set of sensitivity analyses. You can probably find a guide for this with a simple Google search.
On another note: I saw that you wrote that you're looking to do this in Argus. Maybe this doesn't apply then.
Save each version of your model as you change inputs and name them in a unique manner so that you can identify what is what.
I would: 1). make the changes in Argus (save a copy of the model), 2). Export the cash flows to excel, 3). Build an excel model for your waterfall, 4). use the excel model to build a sensitivity table. This is pretty standard. Don't use Argus for your levered IRR / equity multiples, etc, use Argus to get cash flows
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