Argus DCF

Through my real estate MS program, I've been granted access to Argus DCF for $99. I've never really needed it in my line of work (my organizations have been heavy users of Excel modeling and proprietary databases), but I'd be interested in learning it for possible future endeavors (in 2 1/2 to 4 years).

From what I understand, Argus DCF is being phased out in favor of Argus Enterprise. Is there any benefit to learning DCF or are DCF and Enterprise so radically different that it would be a waste of time?

 

Unfortunately AE has a very different layout than DCf. I was frustrated in how difficult the transition was for me...and I know DCf very well. If I had to choose one going forward id go with AE. If your firm will be dealing with other institutional buyers where you'll be comparing argus or using it to verify numbers...id go with what the industry uses. From my experience, many still use DCF, not sure of the speed AE will be phased in...

 

I am well aware. I am close to getting the green light in hiring an analyst, but my shop only utilizes DCF, of which we only have 2 licenses. There are solutions, but the easiest would be to get another license, - only problem is I don't know where you could even buy them from (on a secondary market).

My company currently doesn't think the "shift" to AE will occur for a little while. Once we start seeing AE models vs. DCF in broker packages, we will switch over.

 

Every major brokerage shop is switching over by this July. JP Morgan is only using AE. It isn't that bad, I don't know why everyone is freaking out over it. I taught my boss how to use it in two hours and he is already making fine models. I make models on AE and DCF. The only thing that still needs to be worked out is the reimburse after function, which from what Argus said is being worked out.

 

They're freaking out because it's horrible software. Argus has admitted that AE still has quite a few bugs. Where did you hear that every major shop is switching over in July? I call BS. I have seen DCF file, let alone a deal which only offered AE.

"Who am I? I'm the guy that does his job. You must be the other guy."
 

Is it horrible? Meh not too bad once you understand their logic structure they put into it.

"Where did you hear that every major shop is switching over in July?" -I worked for Altus Group who owns Argus and literally everyone (AIG, JPM, WF, USAA, etc) is being super prodded to switch over. Yes there are conversion programs that change DCF models to AE models, but if shops want Argus support, they will have to switch over to AE.

 
Best Response

So just so I'm understanding: your argument for why it is not horrible is that a) you worked for the firm who's best interest it is to push the product; b) they are forcing people to switch over (always a sign of a great product - when people don't organically/voluntarily adopt [sarcasm font]; and c) they have a logic structure that is counter-intuitive to possibly as low as 50% and as great as 80% of the people who use it?

Have you ever tried using it for anything extremely detailed like DRM's with multiple CAM pools and pass-through structures, tiered term overrides in the MLA's, development pro-formas (S-Curves, etc.)? It is extremely difficult for those items. The hotkeys are also a mess. There are a few hot key strings which are literally 5-8 steps longer than what they were previously. It's not the end of the world in a vacuum, but if you're looking at 50+ deals a week, it adds up.

"Who am I? I'm the guy that does his job. You must be the other guy."
 

@RE_FSU I absolutely agree with that. Many of the IS teams are transitioning over this summer to AE. I took an Argus test for JLL recently. It was on AE and no one knew how to use it so they couldn't even offer me advice. The analysts/associates told me that they'll transition to AE by September.

You eat what you kill.
 

Maybe it's just me, but the few AE deals that I've seen, every file has been f'ed up in some way. I don't think the majority of people actually know how to use the software yet. I admit the layout is simpler in some ways, and it's good for aggregation, but it doesn't have the same flexibility DCF does.

"Who am I? I'm the guy that does his job. You must be the other guy."
 

In my experience, creating complex DRM's is much clunkier. Many of my counterparts complain about the hotkey strings. I've mapped out some of them, and in most instances, it takes more time/clicks/etc. to get to the same place in AE. A lot of other users have said the same thing.

This is my opinion, but again, it's harder to do some of the more complex things like tiered reference accounts, development/redev proformas, etc. This is something I liked about DCF, it was flexible enough to do development or existing dev. acquisitions.

EDIT: This is in addition to the MLA issue another poster mentioned above.

"Who am I? I'm the guy that does his job. You must be the other guy."
 

What's with all the dinosaurs bitching around here? I thought 99% of this site was millennials. Get with the times already. It's like a DCF fan boy club up in here.

If you think DCF is better than AE, you clearly have no idea how to use AE. If I had to use DCF on the portfolio I spent the past day on, I'd be out the window by now. They have been releasing updates constantly and each one has made using it much better overall. I used what to wanna tear my face off using DCF.

As for the sloppy rollout, I couldn't agree more. They also don't notify you of updates and new features just pop up and you kind of need to play around with it to understand how they work. I was lost for a while, but now that I know the shortcuts and useful features they've added, it's actually not bad and I've been breezing through my work much faster than before.

 

It's sad but DCF is better than AE. If I was Altus I'd dump AE and just let people pay me for a 25-year old program. Kodak went bankrupt trying to become a digital giant when they could have just continued selling film and making money. (Classic B-school case)

  • DCF the formulas were correct and in the seldom cases they weren't, people knew why.
  • Argus said everyone had to move in 2014, then 2015, then 2016, now 2017. The market will dictate to Altus what they use if AE doesn't have the chops yet.
  • AE 9 was supposed to be the cure, then it was AE 10, then AE 10.5 , now its AE 11 (AE has been around since the mid 2000's from my understanding and while it improves every version , that is not good enough for the amount of money we pay for it or the risk we take by using it to value billions worth of CRE)
 

Firms are switching to AE, so I'd definitely go with that. From what my professors in my MSRE program have said, ARGUS is dropping support for DCF within the next 1-2 years as well .

"There are only two opinions in this world: Mine and the wrong one." -Jeremy Clarkson
 

Thanks. My school doesn't have a license for students to learn. Do you know if there are any deals for student groups or something like that?

Quant (ˈkwänt) n: An expert, someone who knows more and more about less and less until they know everything about nothing.
 

The DCF vs. AE question has been going on for the last 5ish years.

DCF has been around for 20 years and is being phased out by ARGUS. AE has been around for 5 years and until the release about a year and a half ago, there was very little traction on getting people to switch (original AE had major haters). In Dec 2015, ARGUS announced they were stopping new DCF licenses and would end support in 2017.

That doesn't mean that everyone has immediately changed over.

If I had to pick one, I would learn DCF figuring that because the phase out is so new, that your skills aren't yet "old" and it should be easier to "upgrade" from DCF to AE than to "downgrade" from AE to DCF, unless I knew for sure that the company I was going to had AE.

 

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