25 Comments
 

I personally do own some btc. Have owned it on and off and in more or less amounts for some time now. It’s always been an amount though that if it went away completely like a market crash or wallet hack etc., it wouldn’t make much of a difference though in terms of my overall portfolio. I like the asset. I don’t have any current plans to sell. Times in past when I sold was when I needed the money for a more pressing purpose like living expenses or the like. Best wishes 

 

If its just Bitcoin you want to short I would prefer to go for shorting MicroStrategy actually. MicroStrategy holds  bitcoin as a speculative investment and it has a beta correlation of roughly 1.5 . Coinbase actually doesn't hold bitcoin as a speculative investment it holds it as a product... it makes most of its profit via transacting, transferring, and custodying crypto for the plebs who don't know how to use a wallet. As such Coinbase has a lower beta correlation to bitcoin than MicroStategy. 

If it was just general crypto or something other than bitcoin that you wanted to short (like ETH or the general Bitcoin Top 100 index)... Coinbase would be a better bet because Micro doesn't own any other cryptos  but Bitcoin.

If you wanted to bet on government influence with crypto or something without much risk.... I'd consider holding or shorting Coinbase bonds.  Bought a bit myself when they were trading at 50% under par back in 2022.

Bobby the Baboon - Leader of the Next Great Market Chimpout
 

Opinions are diverse, ranging from bullish sentiments to reservations about its long-term viability. While some highlight its store of value, others express concerns about regulatory uncertainties. Engaging with these perspectives, I find the ongoing dialogue intriguing. Personally, I recognize BTC's significance 

 

For sure agree, alt-coins with a better technical and use case is way better, the value of a cyrpto isnt just in storage but also use of purchasing for drugs online or private, untaxed and ease of transactions rates. I personally back ETH or USDT over BTC. 

amit b.
 

It’s interesting to hear about your thoughts on Bitcoin, especially given its halving cycle, which usually has an impact on its price because it reduces the rate at which new Bitcoins are issued in the future, resulting in a reduction in supply, which could theoretically drive prices higher if demand remains the same or increases.

 

Judging by how Bitcoin is used, it may turn into the currency for unofficial work. It could become as big as the dollar and may even surpass it, but I don’t think it will ever be official—at least not in the next 10 years

 

Bitcoin's general outlook remains bullish, driven by several key factors

1. Institutional Adoption Spot BTC ETFs are attracting significant inflows, signaling strong demand from traditional investors. This could provide long-term price support.

2. Halving Effect The next BTC halving (expected in April 2024) will reduce miner rewards, historically leading to supply shocks and bullish price action in the months that follow.

3. Macroeconomic Conditions If the Federal Reserve signals rate cuts or looser monetary policies, Bitcoin could benefit as a hedge against inflation and fiat devaluation.

4. OnChain Metrics Increasing accumulation by whales and long-term holders suggests confidence in BTC’s long-term value.

5. Market Cycles Historically, BTC has followed four-year cycles, with post-halving years often leading to significant price surges.

While short term volatility is inevitable, the long-term trajectory appears bullish, with potential for new all time highs in 2024-2025. However, always consider external risks like regulatory changes and sudden macroeconomic shifts.

Are you thinking about trading, investing, or just keeping an eye on the market?

 

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