Rates data (want to network with PMs, require pitch)

Hey,

I was wondering if any of you know any free and good sources for data on swaps and government bonds (if possible even on rates options). From what I hear, to network with pod PMs and be convincing one has to have a pitch ready, ideally I'd like to have good enough data for a rates RV (might make sense since one of my key strengths is very solid econometrics+stats knowledge) type of pitch. I want to maximize my chances of potentially convincing someone enough for a FT role. Given recent improvements in my profile that might make it more possible I want to give it my best shot.

For context (and in case anyone even wants to offer more general advice), I have done 2x internships in S&T, one out of which was at a BB, background in math & econ at a solid European school. My profile has become much stronger recently with an S&T incoming internship at a top BB + admission to a top quantitative masters programme (think stats/math or financial mathematics at oxbridge). However since the masters will only be one year long, I won't really have another summer internship recruiting cycle. Previously I didn't get through the resume screens for the top buyside shops in macro such as Brevan Howard, Capula, Citadel, MLP etc for internships, but think now resume wise I should be decent now. But to have a chance in FT recruiting I think I'll need a pitch or an otherwise convincing project.

4 Comments
 

To maximize your chances of impressing pod PMs and crafting a compelling rates RV pitch, here’s what you need to know:

Free and Reliable Data Sources for Rates, Swaps, and Government Bonds

  1. FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

    • A go-to source for macroeconomic data, including interest rates, inflation, and government bond yields.
    • User-friendly and free, making it ideal for historical data analysis and econometric modeling.
  2. TradingView

    • Offers access to a wide range of financial data, including government bond yields and swaps.
    • Great for charting and visualizing trends, which can be useful for your pitch.
  3. TradingEconomics

    • Provides economic indicators, bond yields, and interest rate data for various countries.
    • Useful for cross-country comparisons and macroeconomic insights.
  4. Bloomberg Podcasts (e.g., Odd Lots)

    • While not a direct data source, these podcasts often discuss current trends in rates and macroeconomics, which can inspire ideas for your pitch.
  5. JPM Rates and Macrovoices Podcasts

    • These are excellent for staying updated on market sentiment and understanding how professionals think about rates and swaps.
  6. World Bank Database

    • Rich in global economic data, including interest rates and macroeconomic variables.
    • While not specific to swaps or options, it can provide context for your econometric models.

Crafting a Rates RV Pitch

Given your strong econometrics and stats background, focus on creating a pitch that highlights your analytical edge. Here’s a step-by-step guide:

  1. Identify a Dislocation or Mispricing

    • Look for anomalies in the rates market, such as deviations in swap spreads, cross-currency basis swaps, or government bond yield curves.
    • Use historical data from FRED or TradingEconomics to back your analysis.
  2. Incorporate Macro Themes

    • Tie your pitch to a broader macroeconomic narrative, such as central bank policy divergence, inflation expectations, or geopolitical risks.
    • For example, you could analyze how recent central bank actions have impacted the EUR/USD cross-currency basis swap.
  3. Leverage Econometric Models

    • Use your stats knowledge to build a model that quantifies the mispricing or predicts future movements.
    • For instance, you could create a regression model to explain the relationship between swap spreads and macroeconomic variables like GDP growth or inflation.
  4. Propose a Trade Idea

    • Based on your analysis, suggest a specific trade, such as going long/short on a particular swap or bond.
    • Clearly outline the risk/reward profile and potential catalysts for the trade.
  5. Prepare for Questions

    • Be ready to defend your assumptions and methodology.
    • Anticipate questions about alternative explanations for the observed dislocation or the robustness of your model.

Networking with Pod PMs

  1. Tailor Your Approach

    • When reaching out, mention your specific interest in rates and your econometric expertise.
    • Highlight your recent achievements, such as the incoming internship at a top BB and admission to a prestigious master’s program.
  2. Showcase Your Pitch

    • Share a concise version of your pitch in your initial outreach or during networking conversations.
    • Emphasize how your analysis aligns with the PM’s strategy or market focus.
  3. Leverage Alumni Networks

    • Use your school’s alumni network to connect with professionals at top macro funds.
    • Alumni are often more willing to provide guidance or introductions.
  4. Be Persistent but Polite

    • Follow up if you don’t get a response initially, but avoid being overly pushy.
    • Demonstrate genuine interest in learning from their experience.

General Advice

  • Focus on Differentiation: Your econometrics and stats skills are a unique selling point. Use them to stand out in a competitive field.
  • Stay Updated: Regularly follow market developments and central bank announcements to refine your pitch.
  • Practice Your Delivery: A well-crafted pitch is only effective if you can present it confidently and concisely.

By combining solid data analysis with a compelling narrative, you can create a pitch that not only showcases your skills but also resonates with pod PMs. Good luck!

Sources: DCF Myth 3.2: If you don't look, its not there!, For love of the game, https://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forum/trading/converts-trading?customgpt=1, https://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forum/trading/qa-1st-year-bb-london-rates-trader-taking-your-questions?customgpt=1, Pick Your Poison | The Daily Peel | 10/6/21

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