Guys:
How do I project these accounts for my dcf guys:
Amortization of Intangibles Assets General & Admistrative Expenses SG&A expenses Depreciation Financial Charges Provision of loss contingency Loss on Financial Instruments at Fair Value through P&L Provision of write down of inventory to net realizable value Impairment in availible for Sale investments Impairment of Goodwill Minority Interest
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Is this a serious question? Que guevon, grow them at 50% YoY, of course.
i was wondering how do analyst tackle these proobs...
Do you want something else, sir?
would appreciate any help sir
Analysts typically project these. Projections depend on the company, whatever information is available, the analyst's best judgment, and the judgment of the associate and senior bankers. What I suggest you do? Stop posting your HW on WSO.
Amort - Leave as is, or read the K to see any impairment SG&A - You can take it as a % of sales, use managment guidelines and adjust it Depreciation - Use a multiple of CAPEX Fin. Charges - Flatline this. This is not a driver. Prov. of loss - Use the current reserve amount and increase it by inflation. Loss on Financial instruments at fair value- cannot forecast this, unless they have hedges in place. Leave as is. Prov. for writedowns - Leave the current reserve amount. Again, the provisions are just estimates by the company (e.g. bad-debt expense) Imparment of Goodwill - This is tested yearly. Use your best judgement but I just amoritize it in my models. Minority interest - Leave as is. You cannot possibly forecast this.
Focus on your drivers in the model. Don't spend time forecasting something that you (and management) have no clue about.
I love the ratio of useful posts to stupid "are you serious?" (AKA, I dont fucking know but want to seem like I do) posts. Aprx. 5:1
The world has changed. And we must change with it.
Thank a bunch Moneykingdom but i have some questions:
Amort - Leave as is, or read the K to see any impairment SG&A - You can take it as a % of sales, use managment guidelines and adjust it Depreciation - Use a multiple of CAPEX ( take a percentage of previous depreciation over PP&E?) Fin. Charges - Flatline this. This is not a driver. ( Can I take % liabilities from prior years) Prov. of loss - Use the current reserve amount and increase it by inflation. ( you mean multiply it bt projected infaltion rate going forward for each year? and if so why inflation?) Loss on Financial instruments at fair value- cannot forecast this, unless they have hedges in place. Leave as is. Prov. for writedowns - Leave the current reserve amount. Again, the provisions are just estimates by the company (e.g. bad-debt expense) Imparment of Goodwill - This is tested yearly. Use your best judgement but I just amoritize it in my models. ( how do you amortize it ) Minority interest - Leave as is. You cannot possibly forecast this.( so for my forecast for next years I should have this as zero)\
Thanks for all your help but im trying to forecast accounts and having lil difficult time for these expenses as this comp is in the manufacturing industry
Focus on your drivers in the model. Don't spend time forecasting something that you (and management) have no clue about.
I'm just wondering... for forecasting change in WC is it proper to:
Look at historical days in accounts recievable and accounts payable. Lets say in the last 3 years its been about 40 days. Assume 40 days for the next 5 years and get A/R and A/P projections based on this and revenue/cost of sales. So for A/R it would be revenue/#of days in year*days in A/R and for A/P it would be cost of sales/#of days in year * days in A/P
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