Renege on internal job for better one?

I'm currently in a risk/compliance function at a large global bank and just accepted an internal offer in credit risk (CR) and put in my 2 weeks notice. I'm getting a 30% all-in raise and a promotion for this.

I also just found out that a market risk (MR) team that I applied to, but didn't interview for because of timing, wanted me bad and I would have been a perfect fit. I was nieve and didn't realize I would have been good for this group and what they were looking for, or else I would have focused my search here. This MR job would result in an 80% all-in raise and great opportunity at the bank.

The CR role is still high profile and a good experience. MR will always be there. Only minor concern is that what I'm doing right now is more applicable to MR than the new CR role. But I can't stand my current role and the culture there (not getting opps for development, promo, etc.)

Since I accepted the credit risk role, my application was withdrawn from the other role. My company has a policy that I need to work 1 year in the position before taking another internal job.

Should I plan to work in CR and revisit MR in a year? Or renege, stay put for a little longer and wait for MR to pan out. Again, I don't have a hard offer in hand. I have strong connections in MR. I actually know someone building out a team there in 6 months to a year. Gut is telling me to take the new job and revisit MR later, rather than piss off a lot of people by reneging.

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