Weird interview question at EB.. Why do they ask this?
I had a question during an interview about Who Wants To Be A Millionaire and what is the likelihood someone would win.
There's a 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happen to know the answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.
Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.
For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:
-
Question 1: 33.34%
-
Question 2: 33.34%
-
Question 3: 33.34%
-
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
-
Question 5: 33.34%
-
Question 6: 33.34%
-
Question 7: 33.34%
-
Question 8: 33.34%
-
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
-
Question 10: 33.34%
-
Question 11: 33.34%
-
Question 12: 33.34%
-
Question 13: 33.34%
-
Question 14: 33.34%
-
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
-
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.
The interviewer was completely baffled but I think it may be because he is hostile to independent thought. I guess he was expecting someone to just accept the premise of the show and accept it but I gave him a detailed explanation of how it is just a game of luck.
I've not heard back yet but why do they ask these kind of questions? What's the point?
Bro you do know that a person playing the game has to actually get Question "n" right before he can go on to question "n+1", right? You have to multiply the probabilities of each individual answer, not add. You basically told the interviewer what is the simple average chance to get a random question right, not to win the game
I hope this was a troll ahah
That’s not how probability works, lol
I could be missing something, but wouldn’t chance per question be 25% given that it’s one right answer and 3 incorrect answer? 4 total answers, so it’s 1 in 4? I’ve never seen the show so only going off of what you have listed for rules and format. Also, I was never very good at stats lol
Yeah wtf....
What is the probability of you getting this question correct if you randomly selected an answer? Is it....
a.) 1/1, 100%
b.) 1/2, 50%
c.) 1/3, 33.3%
d.) 1/4, 25%
i'm no fucking genius but I'd put money the probability of getting the right answer given 4 options is 1/4, 25%. OP should phone a friend.
e.) 33.34%
I’m admittedly bad at math/stats and am myself still baffled that you thought that was the right answer.
troll
Troll. Or thank god they asked you this question bc a VP with these math skills and no ability to spot his own mistakes...
You had me until this part.
You had me until "Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer"
Go play the roulette bro
reading that i was like wtf
Is this the one where there is a goat behind door number 3? I like the movie 21, as well.
Edit: I really miss the casino :(
If you are truly a VP this has convinced me anyone can be a VP.
How are you a VP....?
Any reason why this is wrong?
Start with the fact if you a 4 options for a outcome and they are equally weighted your outcome of guessing correct is 25%.
Next if you had to guess a 25% outcome correctly 15 times you are not going to do that ~50% of the time.
Surely you’re joking, right? Dude if you don’t know what’s wrong with OP’s logic, you’re not going to make it...
Ouch. So much for letting art history majors into banking
Don't worry he has his MBA
This seems like a VP I can send a corrupted file to and have him respond, "looks great, just forwarded to client."
Half Baked and a few brain cells missing
same
Good job man!! Should expect a call back soon!
They left a message to call them back but he probably thought the dashes in the phone number were subtraction signs and cant figure it out.
This is fucking hilarious
absolutely crap answer.
nontarget prospects punching the air rn
This has to be a troll right?
ignoring the obvious troll element, this is a stupid type of question. a contestants chance of winning isn't 1/4^question #'s.
that's their chance of guessing to victory with eyes blind folded and not listening the question.
if you ask me:
qs1: what is 2+2 and give me 4 options then qs2: what is 5-1 and give me 4 options, my chances of getting both correct are 100%.
Yes sure there is a chance that you know the answer and there are hints that increase the odds but this is not what we are talking about.
Wow, thanks for that Mr. Consultant!! Very very deep thought going on here....
I am sure, you have aced the interview. Maybe they are talking about giving you the post of an Executive Director or maybe even Managing director. Don't loose hope. No-one in this group understands your logic.
Is it actually possible for.a stellar candidate to go up a position say BB associate laterals to MM VP?
two lessons here:
1) anyone can be a VP on this forum
2) there is a pretty good reason to ask these questions and they should be asked by receptionist before they call to say "the applicant is here"
Is this the answer?
With some logic?
If the first 5 questions are easy (70%).
The other 5 are tricky (50%) (use one help).
And the last 5 hard (25%) (use two).
1) 16,8% To get through 5.
2) 0.01% To get through 10 with 2 remaining helplines.
3) 0.00014% To become a millionaire.
Also if you are clever (enchanted 20% per question) the odds are 0.011%
wait what?
how does that work
edit: surely it's 50/50? you're either right or your wrong: 2 outcomes so 50% chance...
If only probabilities worked this way😭 more kids would’ve scored higher on their SATs. But then again, what do I know about about independent events P(x and y) = P(x)*P(y) or mutually exclusive probabilities P(x or y) = P(x)+P(y). By the way, the probability of winning is wayyyyy lower than what you calculated. This is not a game of chance but a game of skill, at which point fair probabilities might not necessarily apply.
Yo someone delete this before that autistic software engineer comes back and sees it
Assuming the VP is not a joke post
Random (assume questions are in Sanskrit)
25% for 5 questions = 0.098% for getting them all right. Drops significantly for the next 10.
Now as per the game adjustments.
First 5 are idiot knowlege. 1 in 2 chance.
Next five are harder but still basic 1 in 3 chance.
Last 5 are very tough. Requires an answer. 1 in 4.
Assuming your friend and the audience is 100% correct and 50/50 are all used in the last section...
First section: 3.125%.
(.5×.5×.5×.5×.5)
Second section: 0.4%
(.33×.33×.33×.33×.33)
Third section: 3.125%
(1×1×.5×.25×.25)
= 0.0004%
This is "picking" out of a bag of choices
In reality, an intelligent person will have the following expected payout.
First 5: 100%
Second 5: (1×1×.66x.5x.5) 16.5%
Third 5: see above 3.125%
Total = 0.5%, which says that 1 out of every 200 people win the million or about 1 per season on average
Built a quick Excel model using your assumptions and got the following:
Expected Payout for Regular Person = $306.71
Expected Payout for Smart Person = $91218.75
You have to be smooth brained
This is what doing a degree that isn't maths/physics/mech eng gets you kids, take notes
I think the main argument to be made of why liberal arts / social sciences teach valuable skills is fully on display in your post: teaches introverted, socially inept students the ability to recognize contextual sarcasm and tacit conversational subtext
So basically you're saying this post is a troll, and I didn't realise bc I am socially inept as a result of doing that type of degree, is that what you're getting at?
Social skills don't mean much unless you're at least mildly competent.
Also how do degrees like gender studies and philosophy teach people social skills?
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