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Not saying its the right answer, but I'd answer either:

  • What someone is willing to pay for it

  • At least the value of its net assets

Once again, not saying its OK, it's just what immediately came to my mind after reading this

 

Editor not working. Edit: Probably got MS from Masa Son.

It is insane to watch rounds closing at valuations way beyond wildest dreams (not business plans or market sizes/shares). Call it premium of any sort (including ego or whatever). It is an important trait and humbling experience to be able to step aside, sticking to ones (lower) valuation, and let the bigger bucks flow. While it may be a failed investment/purchase price, and in hindsight overvalued, at that particular moment, it is the price settled.

 

My first thought as well - founded in 1994 and didn't turn a profit until 2003. Would love to know how many big investors passed on it over those years...

Few players recall big pots they have won, strange as it seems, but every player can remember with remarkable accuracy the outstanding tough beats of his career.
 

The answer is that the firm's value is the the pv of future nonzero cashflow. Hence, the valuations of many unprofitable tech companies.

To live is to suffer, to survive is to find some meaning in the suffering.
 

let’s not pretend anyone uses DCFs to value tech startups. that guy who said “what someone else is willing to pay for it” has the best succinct answer. there are infinitely many variables that the interviewers question doesn’t address and so that is the best answer. in reality valuation of operating businesses are a function of risk and growth - that’s all. you can also go the other way and look at hard assets and liquidation value. biz could have zero income but an easily liquid-able NAV of $10bn who knows.

 

Sure... you add back the D&A, stock-based compensation, etc. to get some positive cash flows (maybe) when you have negative income. From a business perspective, no or negative NI is pretty bad and I got MSed for saying that cuz that's not "banking" accounting lol

 

Income and Cash Flow are two different things.

Amazon has very little income as a result of accelerated depreciation but generates a lot of cash. In fact, most PE-owned companies generate very little / no income (and in all likeli-hood generates a loss) but generates positive levered or unlevered cash flow.

The value of a business at the end of the day is the present value of all of its discounted unlevered free cash flows.

 

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