Would you die for Elon Musk?

Would you die for Elon Musk? Many people immediately think no…

Another way to think about it is would you die to kill Hitler, stopping the holocaust and 6million deaths? Probably yes.

So if you look at just Elon’s work on cars this arguably saves millions of lives.

1.35 million people are killed in car accidents each year. We know self driving cars will infinitely safer than normal driving. By bringing this technology for example 10 years ahead of its time, that would save 13.5 million future lives.

10 million people die a year from air pollution. A large part of that is pollution caused by gas powered cars. By accelerating the transition from fossil fuel based transportation to electric this will reduce pollution and save millions of lives in the future.

If unchecked, climate change will kill millions of people and animals through increased fires, hurricanes, floods, etc. Currently transportation causes 29% of global carbon emissions. Again, popularizing the electric vehicle makes a meaningful impact on reducing carbon emissions and therefore reducing the scale of impact from climate change, saves millions of lives..

You can’t give Elon 100% credit for these transitions but even something like 1-5% credit is worth hundreds of thousands to millions of lives.

So would you die to save Elon’s life?

 

Killing Hitler likely does nothing to prevent World War II. Hitler was one man and World War II involved hundreds of millions of people. Too many other forces and interests were at play.

"Work ethic, work ethic" - Vince Vaughn
 

The British and French were still weary from WW1, which is why they pursued the failed policy of appeasement towards Hitler.  As for Stalin he was perfectly fine slicing up Europe with Hitler.  Hitler may have made some obvious tactical mistakes but I don't think any other leader was as skilled at propaganda and could have convinced Germany to get on board with it.

The only others who could be squarely blamed are Tojo and Mussolini.

 
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To Drumpfy's point, the allies appeased Hitler for years. Stalin had a treaty where, the morning Hitler invaded, Russian train cars were sending supplies into Germany. You don't make peace with an ideology that is committed to destroying you as a people. Moreover - Hitler was not interested in actual peace not, at least in my view, could the Nazi ideology survive for any length of time without antagonists (or sub-human populations in his terms) abroad requiring subjugation via military action in lands rightfully belonging to the master race. 

Post WWI Europe was a fractured place, Germany probably the most fractured of all. The Weimar Republic was a disaster, and even the easing of reparations didn't compare to the disaster of their economy in the depression years. Hitler, despite being just one man, was a singular force - wrapped in ideology, supported by a desperate Germany and enabled by leaders ready to give away anything to avoid another devastating war. I'm not here to say the things like 'oh, Hitler wasn't so bad - look at the economic force Germany was' or 'well, the Nazi's really just made that whole Holocaust mistake - otherwise they were fine stewards of Germany'. 

The genius (and I use that word with quite a bit of distaste) of Hitler was his ability to 'play the man' and not necessarily the board in front of him. He knew that leaders like Chamberlain would sell their soul to avoid war and those like Stalin were ready to make deals to further their aims, expanding their influence. To the point, he used many of those factors that probably would have drawn Europe into war anyway - revenge, angst, economic depression, nationalistic fervor, fear of communism, etc. etc.  - and seized on them. 

Anyway - I'm rambling now, but to the question of whether Hitler being gone would have prevented World War II? Doubtful - Japan had invaded China anyway a few years prior, with auspices in that area that would need to be checked at some point. In Europe more broadly, well, it's hard to say - killing Hitler would have probably delayed the war at least a few years. It's doubtful another leader would have been as hell bent on going to war as quickly as he did. There's also the potential that Russia would have allied more closely with Germany, as again it's doubtful that another leader would have been crazy enough to invade Russia - but as they say, who knows. 

 

Another big assumption is that these transitions will actually be net positive. For example, autonomous driving will kill millions of driving jobs, and possibly cause mass unemployment if new types of jobs don’t replace those lost jobs. Could that destabilize some countries and lead to deaths? Possibly...

Its impossible to quantify these type of butterfly effects but we can understand that the directionality positive.

In the industrial revolution, tractors killed millions of farming jobs but over the long run it is clearly been a net positive for society.

 
papertiger

But do Tesla cars take you from point A to B quicker than a car would 50 years ago ?

Absolutely 

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee
 

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