Lol this really is some BS, they polled 850 people which is literally 0.0001% of NYCs population and made this declaration. Probably polled mostly downtown Manhattan hippies because literally no one I know in Queens, Brooklyn, or The Bronx is supporting Yang.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/538168-poll…
What are your thoughts on this and the election in general?
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Yang is 100% percent going to win
Yeah looking like it, would be very disappointed because he very clearly is just doing this for his national profile.
At least someone sees why he is really running for mayor
TBH, there are very few more high-profile jobs than the mayor of NYC. You've got president, speaker of the House, and governors of California, Texas, and Florida. So, I would say NYC mayor is the 6th highest-profile job in America. There isn't too much higher Yang can go from there.
YANG GANG BANG
Do you understand how polling works? 850 is a large enough sample to get results within a few % points. Its how literally every political poll ever created works
Imao didn't know that about polls structure but would be interested to see where the people they polled live. I am overall just very surprised by the results here. Born and raised in NYC (LES) and have friends all over the city and literally of them have said everyone in their respective areas want the two main local candidates, Adams and Stringer. Interesting to see where things go from here.
Sounds awesome.
Die Yuppie Scum
Large enough assuming that the poll was a blocked random sample of NYC population, (ie the sample proportionally reflects the boroughs people live in, racial/socioeconomic demographic and within each of those blocks participants are chosen randomly.
Someone posted a link to the demographics. It really overemphasizes higher income/manhattan residents unfortunately.
I have a feeling it will come down to Adams and Stringer. Sucks because I think McGuire is actually the best manager in terms of what he can do to revive the city and be a moderate. However, most people just hate Wall Street & it’s hurting him right now.
Personally not impressed by anyone in the crowded candidate pool so far. I know that the pool is more so a product of self-selection than what the city has to offer, but it's actually embarrassing that this is the best NYC could come up with. Yang obviously has the most brand name recognition, but he's a single-issue candidate with very few good policy ideas and limited political experience - not necessarily a disqualification but what does this guy actually offer?
Adding to the 850 participants point, the poll was also taken between Jan. 20-25 - a week after his official announcement and after he constantly made media appearances in the run-up to GA elections. He was clearly the most visible person at that point, so the poll says nothing really. I'll say that Adams is the frontrunner, despite being a horrible candidate, because of his high visibility in local media, local and political exp., and potential ability to curry support from key groups of the NYC machine. (minorities & Hasids, developers, cops. etc)
In conclusion: Stringer is probably the best option for saving this city
Yeah my parents are huge fans of stringer, but it is looking more and more like Adams. Tbh I get that allure though as he is the most relatable. Born and raised Brooklyn, went to public HS in Queens, was a cop and then borough president. Not like Andrew Yang who grew up in Westchester and went to Exeter.
Personally, I feel like Yang will do well in lower Manhattan but get absolutely wiped out in the other boroughs and upper manhattan.
Stringer's been working hard on his real estate plan
Would be nice if it was Yang or McGuire.
More likely it’s some local Union scumbag like Stringer or Adams because we live in an endlessly corrupt shithole.
Still none of these people are even talking about real solutions for crime, homelessness, artificially inflated rent, taxes too high, horrible Union contracts, waste, corruption and garbage everywhere which means nobody can actually fix any real problems.
I’ll take Yang’s cloud servers instead of Eric Adams’ “fuck white people” platform and Scott Stringer lining his pockets with bribes.
I think McGuire is really the best candidate. Stringer reeks of being a career politician. He’ll just tell you one thing and then say another. I like Adams. I don’t have a problem with his comments over NYC transplants. They really are a big source of issues in this city - gentrification, extreme rent prices, and loss of original neihhborhood culture.
I think it's a luxury to consider "loss of neighborhood culture" and "gentrification" a serious voting issue when the city is insolvent, violent crime is surging, garbage is all over Manhattan because DeBlasio cut the sanitation budget and homelessness seems to have doubled in the past 9 months.
Is Adams going to even attempt to fix any of those problems? We both know he won't.
If anyone is interested this report has the demographics of those who participated in the survey:
https://pulseoftheprimary.com/sites/default/files/2021-02/Pulse-Of-The-…
Thanks for sharing this doc. Lol, this is already looking very skewed too me. Manhattan has more representation than Queens despite having almost a million people fewer. The Bronx has 9% fewer representation despite having only roughly 200k more people. If this was done properly on geography, then Queens and Brooklyn ought to have roughly 60% of the polls. Given the average household income in NYC is 62000 and the vast super majority of people are earning below 75k per household, roughly 40% of the pollees are earning more than that amount. Does not look very representative to me imao
Ray McGuire would have my vote if I could see it meaning something beyond a checked box. Shame that all these transplants and progressives are brainwashed to hate Wall Street so they won't vote for the guy.
Second choice would be Eric Adams due his his background as a cop and borough president. He's born and raised in the city and some of my mother's family went to school with him at Bayside. Honestly though, it's amazing how big a of clusterfuck this mayoral race is. No one seems to be promoting their stance on the real issues we are facing right now - like homelessness, crime, hella garbage, anti-police sentiment (still...), corrupt unions, etc. Yet, I feel that's just how NYC mayoral races go.
You won't catch me voting for Stringer though and Yang literally does not have a clue on how he would run NYC. I would hope NYers can see through his bullshit, but apparently this survey is showing something starkly different.
Spot on analysis.
McGuire would be great but his only hope is building a coalition of wealthy Manhattan types and black voters.
Yang doesn’t appear to be a corrupt union thug like Stringer and Adams so that’s the upside I guess. Being electable in NYC politics is maybe the lowest bar imaginable.
This is an internal poll commissioned by the Yang campaign which was leaked to local media, and when it got favorable coverage was then rebranded as an "independent" poll sponsored by an obscure consultant. Take all internal polling with several grains of salt, since the pollsters are motivated to make the client look good so he keeps spending money on their polling. Siena College is the best-regarded source of local polling.
That said, I have no reason to doubt the poll's methodological validity, and it makes sense that Yang would do well in early polling since he has good name recognition from the Presidential race. Early polling is stereotypically a name recognition contest. I have no idea who's best positioned in the NYC mayoral race, though I'm friends with Stringer. I no longer live in NYC, but my friends who do say Covid has turned Manhattan into a ghost town, the levels of financial hardship, social isolation, personal angst and presumably voter dissatisfaction are off the charts, and in such an unusual environment anything could happen. At least Trump can't run because he's no longer a New Yorker, LOL.
How do you think the following would have played out:
Trump v Yang
Trump v Adams
Trump v Stringer
Note: This assumes the top 3 listed in the poll are the only ones who have a shot of winning the Dem primary.
Republicans have lost a lot of power in this city. The last republican who really had a shot was Bloomberg and even he switched to indepedent and then democrat. The election will be decided at the Democratic Primary.
I don’t really care who wins because New York needs to hit rock bottom to be able to bounce back. Things need to become unbearable until the point where libs see how bad it is. Born and raised in NY, relocated to FL for last few months and it’s fantastic. Go figure.
Has Yang ever actually done anything with his life? He's a failed lawyer and his "venture" is basically a sham. The guy is a complete loser.
... ok cool, you all can keep electing traditional politicians then since that’s worked out exceptionally well
Lmao if he actually cared about NYC, would have loved to see him run as the city council member for the Hell's Kitchen area he is lives in first. But he wants to jack up his profile which is basically just another sleazy political move and he is simply not experienced enough to run for mayor of a city producing the 11th largest GDP in the world.
Eric Adams telling transplants to "go back to Iowa" is the most Alpha Chad thing any New York politician has done in while.
https://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2020/01/21/eric-adams-sla…
I have no problem with what he said lol. I really don’t think you understand that a great deal of the housing crisis is due to gentrification brought on by transplants
I said it was "the most Alpha Chad thing any New York politician has done in while."
So I don't have a problem with it at all.
In fact Eric Adams is right. Many Woke White Liberals gentrify black neighborhoods then scream BLM despite literally kicking out blacks from the neighborhood.
They are usually the first to call the cops on blacks as well just for standing outside their apartments.
Also, many people on this forum are Woke White Liberals but lack the self awareness to realize it.
Just saw a news report reporting this poll, quite disappointed especially after seeing the poll distribution where they have given equal weight to higher earning New Yorkers.
Vote for someone who isn't afraid to call out crime for what it is and go after those who commit crimes (we all know who they are). De Blasio seems intent on returning the city to 1980s levels of crime.
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