Hedge Fund Modeling

Guys,

I'm starting at a hedge fund (long/short equity) and I'm trying to figure out what kind of modeling is involved.

If any experienced folks want to weigh in that would be helpful. Also it'd be great if any of you have any examples that you don't mind sharing.

Thanks.

23 Comments
 

Well, most likely, since they're fundamentals-based, you could be building out the consolidated financial statements with any requisite supporting schedules. Also, you could expect to do a DCF or DDM model (if the stock pays dividends), along with some comps and ratio valuation (i.e., P/E, P/S).

 
Best Response
alphad7Guys,

I'm starting at a hedge fund (long/short equity) and I'm trying to figure out what kind of modeling is involved.

If any experienced folks want to weigh in that would be helpful. Also it'd be great if any of you have any examples that you don't mind sharing.

Thanks.

If it's a fairly concentrated fund, expect to build some thorough models. Just keep in mind your model is only as good as your assumptions. Other funds might not build models and will use sell-side models to play around with assumptions/scenarios. It really just depends.

Last year, I spent a good portion of my time building cash flow stress models to gauge the likelihood of companies going into default and the probability of meeting future debt tranche payments. With so many announced restructurings, I also spent quite a bit of time modeling "post-restructured" companies and evaluating what their cash-flow/earnings profile would look like in a more normalized environment.

You'll also end up doing standard DCFs, sum of parts, and break-up/spin-off models. Whatever the situation calls for, you'll build a model for it.

 
Mr. Pink Money Last year, I spent a good portion of my time building cash flow stress models to gauge the likelihood of companies going into default and the probability of meeting future debt tranche payments. With so many announced restructurings, I also spent quite a bit of time modeling "post-restructured" companies and evaluating what their cash-flow/earnings profile would look like in a more normalized environment.

You'll also end up doing standard DCFs, sum of parts, and break-up/spin-off models. Whatever the situation calls for, you'll build a model for it.

Where exactly do you guys learn how to build these kinds of models? Is it something that is taught in a textbooks, or did you learn most of it on the job?

 

I'm working for a larger HF straight out of undergrad and we are on the equities side. I can tell you we don't spend our time building all out models but rather take sell side notes and alter them according to our beliefs and get what we believe proper results should be in the range of.

But yes, they should definitely be teaching you how to do everything as no one enters the industry knowing everything already.

 
LuckySS But yes, they should definitely be teaching you how to do everything as no one enters the industry knowing everything already.

What do they expect you to know coming in?

 

You should be expected to know the different valuation methods and their different strengths and weaknesses. You should also have some basic accounting knowledge to work your way through the financial statements and understand what the 10Ks and 10Qs are saying. But everything else- which valuation to use and when and industry/sector/company dynamics- comes only with experience.

 
sofib09You should be expected to know the different valuation methods and their different strengths and weaknesses.

Sorry for another newb question, but when you say valuation, are you just referring to part 1 of the book "Investment Banking" (link below)? Or are the valuation methods you're talking about different since you're talking about hedge funds and the book is about i-banking? In other words, is the i-banking book a good place to learn the valuation methods for interviews/careers in asset management, hedge funds, etc?

http://www.amazon.com/Investment-Banking-Valuation-Leveraged-Acquisitio…

P.S. Other resources for valuation methods in the hedge fund and asset management industry would be greatly appreciated.

P.S.S. Would the WSO technical guide be sufficient for learning valuation methods that one is expected to know coming in?

 

Any of those resources are fine. WSO will provide a solid basic foundation, while the IB book you mentioned goes into things more in-depth. We use it as part of our training where I'm at, so it's definitely a resource worth checking out if you can.

:-)

econ
sofib09You should be expected to know the different valuation methods and their different strengths and weaknesses.

Sorry for another newb question, but when you say valuation, are you just referring to part 1 of the book "Investment Banking" (link below)? Or are the valuation methods you're talking about different since you're talking about hedge funds and the book is about i-banking? In other words, is the i-banking book a good place to learn the valuation methods for interviews/careers in asset management, hedge funds, etc?

http://www.amazon.com/Investment-Banking-Valuation-Leveraged-Acquisitio…

P.S. Other resources for valuation methods in the hedge fund and asset management industry would be greatly appreciated.

P.S.S. Would the WSO technical guide be sufficient for learning valuation methods that one is expected to know coming in?

 

there are a lot valuation methods. IB does prepare you well for hedge fund in a sense that you get the modeling skill and the particular industry knowledge if you are in an industry group

If you really want to learn valuation, you can either go to valuation firms/ big 4 valuation group/ IB.

 

At the end of the day, valuation will give you a range of numbers to work with and a DCF is just another tool to give you a possible valuation. So to answer your question, it wont be the ONLY thing used, but a DCF could factor into the decision.

 

The firm where I work has an internal Hedge Fund (~200m) and the Fund Manager uses DCFs in certain, specific situations but its not exactly common...

If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses - Henry Ford
 

I interned at a value HF and they ran Comps, DCF even LBO all the time. EVery one except the MD had IB background.

"Seeing this house and your fine sword and hearing how you're importing and exporting chinamen, let me guess, you must be fucking rich." Kenny Powdersss
 

I wouldn't say active traders use DCF, but value, l/s and activist funds def use DCF and scale in and out. DCF is def useful especially when cashflows are broken up into business segments. I dont see a DCF being totally useless to active traders, it could trigger possible exit and entry points i guess

"Seeing this house and your fine sword and hearing how you're importing and exporting chinamen, let me guess, you must be fucking rich." Kenny Powdersss
 

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