Buy-In Analysis

Monkeys,

i'm seeking your advice. How would you approach a buy-in analysis of a company that has not been publicly traded for a portion of the time span covered in the analysis?

What i am looking to create is an analysis of which returns shareholders have made with shares of a specific company until today. I mean there are multiple ways for an "investor"/current shareholder to have participated in a company in the past: capital increases, share deals (where the target becomes a shareholder of the combined entity), regular market purchases and so on. How would you structure and reconcile such an analysis, specifically for a company that has not been trading for a long portion of time ( i am thinking about stock splits and understanding how the firm valuation at the point of transaction can be translated into a pro-forma share price that is comparable to todays shares (which are publicly listed)?

Rationale behind analysis: understanding premium dynamics in the context of how much investors have already made on the asset and how likely they might be to sell their shares.

any insights on this are highly appreciated!

cheers

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