Did Paulson Get the Last Laugh?

“Friends don’t let friends go long BAC.” – Eddie Braverman

Well folks, we all thought he was nuts—but here we are, months after John Paulson opened a long position on Bank of America, going all in when it was trading at around $5 per share and a lot of people (including a lot of the simians on this site) were crying foul. Every just KNEW Bank of America was done. Terrible management! Expensive lawsuits! Losses like crazy! Fed stress tests coming up! Forgetting crying foul, most of us were SCREAMING foul. Talk about a contrarian play.

BAC closed today at 9.53 after cracking the double digits during the day. How bout them apples? Mr. Paulson looks set to book a tidy profit for his fund.

Some of us will probably counterpoint, “Well no kidding Flesh—financial stocks are booming in general.” And you’d be correct—check out bellwether JP Morgan, closing today at after trading around $30 only a few months ago. Heck, even Goldman Sachs seems to be recovering its post-Greg Smith losses pretty nicely. And I think we’re all pretty surprised at how well the big banks fared on the Fed’s much-vaunted stress tests.

Anyway, imagine you’re John Paulson now. You've almost doubled your money. Do you take profits immediately, do a victory lap, and get ready for the next opportunity? Have you shed your “one trick pony” status, if you ever really had it in the first place? Is there still more room for the stock to go up? Or maybe you believe that the rally so far this year has gone on long enough and it’s time for a correction.

What do you think? Time to sell?

18 Comments
 

yeah right, that's just one position. JP actually managed to LOSE money on gold in 2011 when gold had one of its greatest years ever.

if he did indeed go all in on BAC, i'll eat my words.

 

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