Dividend Discount Model

I'm trying to build a dividend discount model to be used in a pitch(I'm an intern). But, I was wondering if anyone knew where I could get my hands on a basic dividend discount model I could take a look at? I'm reading Damodaran's piece on valuing financial institutions, and it's been helpful. But I think taking a look at a real model will be able to guide me better. Thanks in advance.

By the way, happy thanksgiving everyone!

18 Comments
 

Dividend discount is, mathematically and in terms of building it in excel, about the simplest there is (Assuming you mean a "true" dividend discount model of d/(r-g) or a related multi-stage dividend model and not a DCF model). Literally all you need to do is have those three items, though you will want some support for your choices. Is there a specific part that you're struggling with?

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Best Response

when I was a first year analyst I spent some time deriving an implied market based LTG rate for private company valuation... basically took the public comps, arrived at normalized DFCF multiple (inverse is cap rate), built up a WACC for guideline comps and applied some basic algebra to the Gordon growth model (Discount Rate - LTG Rate = Cap Rate) to arrive at a market based LTG rate ... it can be tough to determine"normalized" DFCF, but it worked pretty well for mature industries i.e. health systems.

 

You should use an assumption (or compare to pears) to determine when they may begin issuing dividends and discount back. Or better yet, see a comparable firms payout ratio and "simulate" dividends based on this firms current retained earnings (if they have any).

 

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