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Yeah very much the case so pretty concerning. No one pre-spend that bonus

 

Any intel on layoffs in Levfin / FSG ? Dealflow is likely nonexistent considering every sponsor is turning to direct lending / private credit.

 
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UBS LevFin is actually busy af due to all the legacy / agented names that they inherited from the CS LevFin platform (apparently 10x the amount of agented names they've originally had). Those guys have had more lead-left exposure the last 5 months than they've had in the last 3 years pre-CS merger.

The M&A group is one of the groups thats way over-bloated right now. More than 100+ bankers in that group and I can assure you UBS does not have anywhere close to enough M&A dealflow to justify that size of a group. 

 

Think it varies, Tech/HC are mainly growth initiatives in the US, where they did the brunt of the senior hiring. LevFin is undoubtedly gonna be safe, they pretty much onboarded the entire loan book of CS to drive sponsor growth. FIG headcount reduction wouldn’t count on it too much, they had minimal hiring from CS, and it’s the largest revenue group of IB. M&A grew on the other hand enormously feels like they doubled almost in size.

 

Pretty spot on - my 100+ were referring to M&A and GIG (though other groups are pretty big too). Think it will be spread across most levels wherever each group sees fat to guide towards the more pyramid like structure. If top heavy, more MDs; if ASO heavy, more from there. But will see cuts from every level (maybe not ANLs)

 

Speaking for Europe, RELL is gonna be fine.

Historically one of the leanest teams, and at least in London, CS RELL was poached a few months/ a year before the bank collapsed. Hence, no big influx to UBS from CS.

Dealflow was down bad this year but is expected to be much stronger going into 2024

 

Sounds like you know the REGL space in Europe. Where would you position UBS REGL amongst the other banks in Europe?

 

Think it’s 3 months + 1 month for every year you’ve been there.

Don’t know if there is any other lump sum on top of that

 

Not sure for grads, but the standard timing for redundancies at UBS in London is you get a zero in the Feb communication day and let go in  April.

 

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