Enough seats at the table?

Hi all, 1st year associate at a LMM shop. I originally joined the firm because I was hoping to be in a small and growing firm where career progression would be promising. As of now I plan on being in PE for the longterm. However, recently there have been a couple of mid-level hires as the firm builds out the team. I guess I shouldn't be surprised by this as I step back and think about it, but it makes me concerned that there won't be "enough seats at the table" by the time its all said and done. Any advice on how I should think about head count at partner, VP, etc. going forward to help determine whether or not there's room for me at this firm (or any LMM firm for that matter). Thanks in advance!

 
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Congrats on the role! It sounds like you are somewhere you think you'll be happy in the long-term. As to your question, I wouldn't worry about it at this stage of your career. While it's definitely wise and admirable for you to be thinking about your long-term career, there are so many variables that can result in their being "room" or not. Key drivers such as, i) fundraising ii) new investment strategies (credit, growth equity, go up market, etc) iii) doughnuts and homeruns (what if a bunch of investments blow up both to the upside and downside). When it's all said and done, you can approximate your firm's P&L. How much fees are coming in and the expenses going out. Usually there is always rooms for fee generators. If the firm hits a maturation point where they decide this is the steady-state size of the firm, you can easily calculate if there is an opportunity for you based on the number of people at the firm. However, it seems like your firm is growing and investing in its talent pool, which is a big positive. Again, it sounds like you are in a good spot. Focus on developing your skills as an investor and you'll have plenty of optionality if and when the time comes to evaluate if the partner track is right for you at your current firm. 

 

Just joined with fund II recently closing. Fund II’s first investment is near a close. Fund I raised ~$200M and fund II raised ~$400M.

 

Fair.  And while I think it's fair to say I work in PE (at a family office where I do more LBO work than I want, while trying to focus on public investing) I haven't worked at the traditional PE shop.

I just think with most things, the odds are high that someone who acquires the right ingredients for the senior role is going to end up there.  It could take some job moves, some changes to the industry, etc etc.  But if I was forced to choose between (i) acquiring the right skills etc, but in a shop with an unfavorable promotion path vs. (ii) doing a lesser job of acquiring those ingredients while in a shop with a clean path, I'd choose the former.  Granted every PE person I know is cynical AF and would call me a sucker for saying that. 

 

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