31 Comments
 
CallmeSirKKR because it is still smaller and PE is the main business. PE is only one of many divisions at BX (with advisory, real estate, HF, GSO etc...)

Not sure how accurate this is. As mentioned above KKR has a capital markets and operational consulting group as well as a credit group and some other liquid markets stuff (which is common among megafunds-Blackstone (GSO), Bain (Sankaty), TPG (TPG Credit), Apollo, Ares, Carlyle etc all have credit management arms).

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I'd say its a toss up. Depends how you feel about where KKR is going in the near-term future.

There are many a story about companies that meddled outside of what they're experts at and ended up getting burnt bad... think LTCM. IMO, there is quite a bit of uncertainty as to how KKR will do as a public entity and in transitioning itself to a more banking-type enterprise. Meanwhile, BX is tried and tested on that business model.

In addition to that, I personally am a bit skeptical as to how KKR will do in integrating and running the GS Prop team they just lifted into their firm. That could, IMO be the LTCM-esque beginning of the end. Thirdly, PE is in a bit of flux right now. Not sure which direction it will go in. Its getting increasingly harder to get the same economics as have been historically realized across the last 5-7 years. Wouldn't be surprised if major institutional investors permanently downsized their PE asset class allocations, as a correction to the recent bite from over-exuberance.

Last and to KKR's credit, they have been doing a hell of a job in extracting additional value through KKR Capital Markets, and to a lesser degree KKR Capstone. So thats clearly a point of differentiation from the other PE shops and a strong foundations (at least KKR Cap Mkts) in the transition to a banking-type model.

In sum, I'd probably go with Blackstone less risk with roughly the same upside. Lets face it, if KKR knocks it out of the park, BX isn't going to drop to a tier 2 PE shop.

 

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