Ontario Teachers Conceding Defeat?

Ontario Teachers just announced they're winding down their direct PE strategy and moving to a more passive model - and the same for their public equities strategy.

Are Canadian pensions realizing they can't compete with fully built out GPs and/or beat the market?

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imo i think its because their expenses have been scrutinized by the public, if they are doing direct investment, expenses would appear higher than just giving the money to a GP. Also lot of politics involved on whether pensions are putting money into Canadian businesses, giviing money to GP gives perfect excuse that they dont have much control over where the money is allocated, I'm not an insider but this is my speculation

 

My biggest takeaway on this headline is it underscores the importance of human capital in the industry. LPs often complain about the high fees, but believe it or not, the good GPs deliver a great return on those costs. If an LP thinks it can hire a world class team, then by all means go direct. I will tell you a huge percentage of our fees go to retaining people. If my fees were cut in half, I could not keep the people I need to deliver top returns.

 
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Nope, sorry, it's none of that. Before the GPs here start self-placating themselves, here's the real story:

The move to more passive is really a function of the concentration of the portfolio under a direct model. When you have a funds + co-invest model, you might have exposure to a thousand companies through your funds portfolio and I dunno, 50-70 maybe through your co-invest portfolio. That portfolio may generate mediocre returns but the risk of blowups are practically zero. If you then move to a direct model, you need to hire a lot more expensive talent and with the same asset base, now you may only have exposure to 20-40 companies in total. A blow up is now more consequential both reputationally and to annual and long-term returns that people get paid on. Exact same deal at OMERS.

 

You can actually construct a proper portfolio with asset class, geography, and vintage year diversification if you do a funds programme with co-investments to blend down fees. OTPP's direct deals often tended to be venture/growth deals -- the late-stage focus that their check sizes allow probably hurt returns quite badly given the recent market downturn in late-stage venture. 

Direct deals can be lumpy and deployment can be sporadic -- if you happen to catch a bad vintage then it's belly up. Committing to funds, even if one fund has lumpy deployment, with a portfolio of funds it would be smoothened out. Vintage year diversification is incredibly important for consistent returns

 

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