Reneging offer to Software Growth / PE?
Let’s say you are hypothetically an analyst in IB going to a software growth buyout shop this summer. You signed your offer as a first year when software was really hot . AI fears and SaaS is dead narrative then crushes the market, and you now see first hand that sponsors are being more cautious, deal volume down 60% YTD in software, and you are starting to get worried about the future of the firm you are going to. They specialize in software, and suddenly you feel like you are going to be specializing in a dying craft.
1. How bad would it be to start shopping around again and potentially reneging for a different seat.
2. If you end up keeping to your word and going to the firm, and worst case scenario occurs / software doesn’t recover, how hard do you think it would be to pivot out of software as an associate. Would you need to go down market?
3. What are thoughts on software growth buyout. Fund in question has a 5bn+ latest fund. Growth would make it sound like you are chasing sexy names, but if you are really mainly taking majority positions in MM / LMM software companies that are “high growth” are you less protected than the minority growth shops that chase some of these AI names?
On #1 - would it be realistic to do a third analyst year and look for immediate start MM / LMM roles?
Yes, it'd be pretty competitive as I am sure you are aware. I would first dilligence the fund you have an offer at a bit further; look into where the companies debt is trading, any public articles on portcos, etc. before maing any rash decisions and re-comitting yourself to a very difficult recruiting process with no guaranteed outcome. Most importantly would dilligence: how long ago did they raised and how much capital is left to deploy, which in turns determines how active your fund is. I would much rather be at a tech fund with a lot of capital to deploy than a non-tech one with less. PE lateral interviews are mostly talking through your deals and the more you can do the better; this is another reason why so many people at JAMMBO UMM/MM funds or zombie funds cannot find a second job in PE.
Reneging on an offer and pivoting in the current market is a nuanced decision. Here's a breakdown based on the most helpful WSO content:
1. Shopping Around and Reneging
2. Sticking with the Firm and Pivoting Later
3. Thoughts on Software Growth Buyout
Final Thoughts
If you're seriously considering reneging, weigh the risks and rewards carefully. The decision should align with your long-term career goals and risk tolerance. If you stay with the firm, focus on building transferable skills and positioning yourself for future opportunities, regardless of market conditions.
Sources: Is Reneging Actually That Bad?, 7 Tips on Reneging, https://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forum/investment-banking/feels-like-i-got-bullied-into-accepting-an-offer?customgpt=1, Is Reneging Actually That Bad?, Please help! Renegging on an offer and boss threatening to cancel me
Any specific upcoming names in MM / LMM tech space?
Generally would be okay with joining anything that fund raised after late 2024 and early 2025 given the lifecycle of a PE fund. I think some like PSG may not be the best long-term seats with AI developments, but it should still be a strong associate experience if you start in 2026 or 2027 as funds typically take a few years to deploy capital. If the fund you got an offer from didn't raise recently; would evaluate relative to performance, culture, location, current portfolio, etc.
Disagree on PSG culture point. Got very weird vibes from them.
Interesting, why do you think PSG type funds may not be best long term? Is it their strategy of buy & build? Bad portfolio? Not willing to pay up for good businesses?
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